Sloga Doboj
vs
Siroki Brijeg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sloga Doboj
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg
| Probability | Sloga Doboj | Draw | Siroki Brijeg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 29.0% | 38.3% |
| Market | 46.7% | 28.8% | 24.5% |
| Final | 43.2% | 28.8% | 28.0% |
| Edge | -14.1% | +0.2% | +13.8% |
Why Sloga Doboj
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg match preview
Sloga Doboj faces Siroki Brijeg in what promises to be a competitive match. According to our model, Sloga Doboj has a 43% probability of winning, while Siroki Brijeg stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Sloga Doboj, with an 8% chance of occurring. Expected goals are slightly in favor of Siroki Brijeg at 1.35 compared to Sloga Doboj's 1.23.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Sloga Doboj recording three losses in their last five matches, alongside two draws. Siroki Brijeg's form is similar, with no wins in their last five games, resulting in four losses and one draw. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows a balanced competition, with both teams securing four wins each and two draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg attack and defence ratings
Sloga Doboj
Siroki Brijeg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 43.2% | 2.31 | -14.1% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 43.2% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Siroki Brijeg | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% |
| No | 46.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sloga Doboj win | 14.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 67.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 9.0% | |
| 0-0 | 8.9% |
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg stats
Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg recent form
| Sloga Doboj |
LLLDWD |
| Siroki Brijeg |
DLDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg season so far
Sloga Doboj record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Siroki Brijeg record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Siroki Brijeg | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Sloga Doboj | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Siroki Brijeg | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Sloga Doboj | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Siroki Brijeg | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Sloga Doboj | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Siroki Brijeg | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Sloga Doboj | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-20 | Sloga Doboj | Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga | 2-3 |
| 2024-03-09 | Siroki Brijeg | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 28.8%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.15 | 3.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.15 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.15 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.16 | 3.79 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .