BSK Banja Luka
vs
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Garuda Lions Prediction: BSK Banja Luka
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
| Probability | BSK Banja Luka | Draw | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 25.5% | 28.5% |
| Market | 39.6% | 28.5% | 32.0% |
| Final | 41.2% | 27.7% | 31.1% |
| Edge | +6.3% | -2.9% | -3.4% |
Why BSK Banja Luka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.34.
- The market prices BSK Banja Luka below the model: +6.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo match preview
BSK Banja Luka faces Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga with a kickoff scheduled for October 17, 2026. According to our model, BSK Banja Luka has a 46% probability of winning, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo stands at 29%, and a draw is estimated at 26%. The expected goals for BSK Banja Luka is 1.75, compared to 1.34 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of BSK Banja Luka, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, BSK Banja Luka has recorded results of L-D-D-W-L-L, while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has L-D-D-W-W-L. Our model indicates a 60% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BSK Banja Luka and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
BSK Banja Luka and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo attack and defence ratings
BSK Banja Luka
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 41.2% | 2.43 | +6.3% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSK Banja Luka | 41.2% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 31.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% |
| No | 37.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | BSK Banja Luka win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo stats
BSK Banja Luka and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo recent form
| BSK Banja Luka |
LDDWLL |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
LDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BSK Banja Luka and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo season so far
BSK Banja Luka record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | BSK Banja Luka | Premijer Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
BSK Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 28.5%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.30 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.10 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.31 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .