Zrinjski
vs
Velež
2 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | N. Bilbija | ||
| 37′ | D. LagumdzijaM. Cavar | ||
| 48′ | M. Abdallah | ||
| 56′ | A. Omerovic | ||
| 59′ | M. CuzeI. Vidovic | ||
| 60′ | A. Ivancic | ||
| 61′ | A. MesicL. Ignatov | ||
| 70′ | K. DjulimanD. Halilovic | ||
| 82′ | A. Ilic | ||
| 83′ | S. DuranovicF. Dzevahiric | ||
| 83′ | M. RahimicA. Bajric | ||
| 86′ | K. AbramovicM. Cuic | ||
| 86′ | N. BilbijaT. Juric | ||
| 86′ | A. IlicH. Ljukovac | ||
| 88′ | H. Ljukovac |
Zrinjski vs Velež overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zrinjski vs Velež
| Probability | Zrinjski | Draw | Velež |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.0% | 14.4% | 5.6% |
| Market | 70.9% | 19.9% | 9.2% |
| Final | 73.2% | 18.5% | 8.3% |
| Edge | +9.1% | -5.5% | -3.6% |
Why Zrinjski
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Zrinjski below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zrinjski and Velež expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Zrinjski and Velež attack and defence ratings
Zrinjski
Velež
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zrinjski vs Velež: result vs prediction
Zrinjski 2 – 0 Velež
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zrinjski vs Velež markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 73.2% | 1.37 | +9.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 73.2% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Velež | 8.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win | 59.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 20.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.6% |
| 3-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.7% |
Zrinjski vs Velež stats
Zrinjski and Velež recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zrinjski and Velež going into this match
Zrinjski record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Velež record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Zrinjski vs Velež head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Zrinjski | Velež | Premijer Liga | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Velež | Zrinjski | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Zrinjski | Velež | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Velež | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Zrinjski | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Velež | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Velež | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Zrinjski | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Velež | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Zrinjski | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zrinjski vs Velež odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.0%, draw 19.7%, away 9.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 4.60 | 10.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 3.90 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.30 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 4.60 | 9.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.02 | 9.79 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 4.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .