St. Truiden
vs
FC Iberia 1999
Garuda Lions Prediction: St. Truiden
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999
| Probability | St. Truiden | Draw | FC Iberia 1999 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 21.2% | 16.4% |
| Market | 68.5% | 19.0% | 12.5% |
| Final | 67.0% | 19.5% | 13.5% |
| Edge | -6.1% | +2.2% | +3.9% |
Why St. Truiden
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 match preview
St. Truiden enters this match against FC Iberia 1999 with a probability of 62% to win, while a draw stands at 21% and FC Iberia 1999 at 16%. The expected goals for St. Truiden are 2.22, significantly higher than FC Iberia 1999's 1.08, suggesting a strong offensive performance from the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, St. Truiden has struggled, recording two losses followed by a win, and then two more losses. Conversely, FC Iberia 1999 has also faced difficulties, with two losses, a win, a draw, and another loss in their last five matches. The probabilities indicate a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 attack and defence ratings
St. Truiden
FC Iberia 1999
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Truiden | 67.0% | 1.49 | -6.1% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | St. Truiden win | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Truiden | 67.0% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% |
| No | 40.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Truiden win | 40.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 stats
St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 recent form
| St. Truiden |
LLWLWL |
| FC Iberia 1999 |
LLWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.5%, draw 19.0%, away 12.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.94 | 8.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.65 | 8.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 4.09 | 5.91 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 4.46 | 6.76 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .