UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999

2 – 0 Full time

11′R. Vanwesemael
36′Nelson Ishiwatari
71′Lucas CafeJ. Tiboue
71′Z. NatchkebiaS. Ende
79′S. BazdarF. Soelle
79′A. DzaganiaA. Bartishvili
84′N. MbukuK. Matsuzawa
84′P. CancarG. Kobuladze
84′N. DadianiG. Kutsia
88′I. Sebaoui
90′I. SebaouiS. Shinkawa

Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-TruidenReferee: M. Turkmen

St. Truiden 73%
Draw 16%
FC Iberia 1999 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
58 Possession % 42
4 Corners 0
24 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
571 Accurate passes 394

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySt. TruidenDrawFC Iberia 1999
Model61.4%20.6%18.0%
Market77.2%14.5%8.3%
Final73.3%16.1%10.7%
Edge-3.9%+1.5%+2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why St. Truiden

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.23.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

St. Truiden ↓ / FC Iberia 1999 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 8% 9% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 expected goals

St. Truiden 2.34
FC Iberia 1999 1.23

Total expected goals: 3.58

St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 attack and defence ratings

St. Truiden

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.30 +30%

FC Iberia 1999

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999: result vs prediction

St. Truiden 2 – 0 FC Iberia 1999

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 St. Truiden 73.3% 1.37 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.4% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.3% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 St. Truiden win 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2St. Truiden73.3%
Draw16.1%
FC Iberia 199910.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.4%
Under 2.530.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.9%
No35.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.3%
12 (either side)83.9%
X2 (draw or away)26.7%
Handicap -1St. Truiden win40.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss38.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.5%
1-18.9%
2-07.7%

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 stats

St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 recent form

newest first
St. Truiden LLLWLW
FC Iberia 1999 LLWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 77.2%, draw 14.5%, away 8.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.26 6.53 10.80
Bet365 1.22 6.25 12.00
BetVictor 1.18 6.50 13.00
Betano 1.24 7.00 13.00
Betfair 1.20 6.50 11.00
Dafabet 1.23 7.00 12.00
Marathonbet 1.24 5.95 9.90
Pinnacle 1.24 6.58 11.92
SBO 1.21 5.90 9.26
William Hill 1.22 5.80 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.23 ▼ -0.11
X 6.50 ▲ +1.65
2 11.46 ▲ +4.11

14 snapshots recorded, from .