FC Iberia 1999
vs
Jagiellonia
1 – 2 Full time
FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia
| Probability | FC Iberia 1999 | Draw | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.3% | 25.6% | 55.1% |
| Market | 26.5% | 26.1% | 47.4% |
| Final | 24.7% | 26.0% | 49.4% |
| Edge | -7.2% | -0.5% | +7.6% |
Why Jagiellonia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Jagiellonia below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Iberia 1999 and Jagiellonia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
FC Iberia 1999 and Jagiellonia attack and defence ratings
FC Iberia 1999
Jagiellonia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia: result vs prediction
FC Iberia 1999 1 – 2 Jagiellonia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Play-offs fixtures
- Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht — team news & stats
- Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999
- Mjallby AIF v Red Bull Salzburg — match page
- Lech Poznan vs FC Thun — team news & stats
- Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris
- Universitatea Craiova v Ararat-Armenia — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom
Before and after this match
FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jagiellonia | 49.4% | 2.03 | +7.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Iberia 1999 | 24.7% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Jagiellonia | 49.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jagiellonia win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 0-2 | 10.2% |
FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia stats
FC Iberia 1999 and Jagiellonia recent form
| FC Iberia 1999 |
LWDDLD |
| Jagiellonia |
WDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Jagiellonia | FC Iberia 1999 | UEFA Europa League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 26.1%, away 47.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.02 |
| 1xBet | 3.82 | 3.78 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.45 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 3.68 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.55 | 3.83 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 3.22 | 3.20 | 1.98 |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Unibet | 3.45 | 3.60 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .