DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 32

Brabrand vs Viborg

2 – 1 Full time

10′M. Frandsen
41′O. Mandrup
43′F. Jorgensen
46′P. KellerC. Nouck
51′D. Hanza
56′M. ToftingR. Jensen
56′O. MandrupS. Ernst
64′M. SondergaardA. Beck
65′GiulioL. Coulibaly
73′D. HanzaR. Mitchell
79′R. AlteA. Kleis-Kristoffersen
79′F. JorgensenJ. Pedersen
79′S. VesterbaekL. Moller
90′M. KjellerupS. Straagaard Moller
Brabrand 10%
Draw 18%
Viborg 72%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Brabrand vs Viborg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brabrand vs Viborg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrabrandDrawViborg
Model17.9%24.1%58.1%
Market7.6%15.4%77.0%
Final10.1%17.6%72.3%
Edge+10.3%+8.7%-19.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Viborg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brabrand ↓ / Viborg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 10% 10% 6% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Brabrand and Viborg expected goals

Brabrand 0.98
Viborg 1.91

Total expected goals: 2.88

Brabrand and Viborg attack and defence ratings

Brabrand

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Viborg

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Brabrand vs Viborg: result vs prediction

Brabrand 2 – 1 Viborg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Brabrand vs Viborg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Viborg 72.3% 1.38 -19.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.1% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.2% 1.85 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 89.9% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.9% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brabrand10.1%
Draw17.6%
Viborg72.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.1%
Under 2.544.9%
Both teams to scoreYes54.2%
No45.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)27.7%
12 (either side)82.4%
X2 (draw or away)89.9%
Handicap -1Viborg win34.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss41.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
0-210.2%
1-29.9%

Brabrand vs Viborg stats

Brabrand and Viborg recent form

newest first
Brabrand WWL
Viborg DLWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Brabrand vs Viborg head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Brabrand wins 3Draws 2Viborg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-12-13ViborgBrabrandDBU Pokalen6-0
2024-12-08BrabrandViborgDBU Pokalen1-1
2018-05-20ViborgBrabrand1. Division3-3
2018-03-11BrabrandViborg1. Division0-0
2017-10-01ViborgBrabrand1. Division4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Brabrand vs Viborg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 7.6%, draw 15.4%, away 77.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 13.60 5.75 1.16
Bet365 11.00 6.00 1.22
BetVictor 12.00 6.00 1.18
Betano 10.75 5.90 1.24
Betfair 12.00 6.00 1.15
Marathonbet 12.75 5.75 1.16
Pinnacle 10.39 6.07 1.18
SBO 8.10 5.13 1.17
William Hill 13.00 5.00 1.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 12.00 ▲ +0.43
X 5.90 ▲ +0.18
2 1.18 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .