DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
KRFK
vs
Brabrand
1 – 5 Full time
KRFK
23%
Draw
21%
Brabrand
56%
KRFK vs Brabrand overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KRFK vs Brabrand
| Probability | KRFK | Draw | Brabrand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 21.4% | 55.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.7% | 21.4% | 55.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Brabrand
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.43.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
KRFK and Brabrand expected goals
KRFK
1.43
Brabrand
2.28
Total expected goals: 3.71
KRFK and Brabrand attack and defence ratings
KRFK
Attack
1.32 +32%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Brabrand
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KRFK vs Brabrand: result vs prediction
KRFK 1 – 5 Brabrand
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
KRFK vs Brabrand markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brabrand | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KRFK | 22.7% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Brabrand | 55.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% |
| No | 30.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brabrand win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-3 | 6.9% |