FC Copenhagen
vs
Brondby
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Copenhagen
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.94.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Copenhagen is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Copenhagen vs Brondby
| Probability | FC Copenhagen | Draw | Brondby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 23.0% | 16.1% |
| Market | 54.0% | 23.9% | 22.1% |
| Final | 55.7% | 23.7% | 20.6% |
| Edge | +1.7% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.94.
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (our 55.7% × 1.78 − 1).
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby match preview
FC Copenhagen hosts Brondby in a Denmark Superliga clash, with FC Copenhagen holding a 55% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. FC Copenhagen's recent form shows a mix of results, with three wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Brondby has recorded four wins and two losses in their recent outings.
In terms of expected goals, FC Copenhagen is forecasted to score 1.97, compared to Brondby's 0.98. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 55% probability of scoring at least once. The head-to-head record in the last 10 encounters favors FC Copenhagen with 6 wins, while Brondby has secured 3 victories and 1 match ended in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Copenhagen and Brondby expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
FC Copenhagen and Brondby attack and defence ratings
FC Copenhagen
Brondby
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 55.7% | 1.80 | +1.7% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 55.7% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Brondby | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 37.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 39.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby stats
FC Copenhagen and Brondby recent form
| FC Copenhagen |
WWWDDD |
| Brondby |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Copenhagen and Brondby season so far
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brondby record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Denmark Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Brondby | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-01 | FC Copenhagen | Brondby | Superliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 23.9%, away 22.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.95 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 3.93 | 4.34 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.52 | 4.03 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .