Denmark Superliga · ·Matchday 10

Brondby vs Lyngby

Garuda Lions Prediction: Brondby

2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Brøndby Stadion, CopenhagenReferee: Jacob A Sundberg

Brondby 49%
Draw 25%
Lyngby 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Brondby wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Brondby vs Lyngby overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brondby vs Lyngby

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrondbyDrawLyngby
Model35.0%28.5%36.5%
Market53.9%23.4%22.7%
Final49.2%24.7%26.1%
Edge-18.9%+5.0%+13.8%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Brondby vs Lyngby match preview

Brøndby faces Lyngby in the Denmark Superliga on October 11, 2026, with the match expected to be competitive. Brøndby has a 49% probability of winning, while Lyngby stands at 26%, with a 25% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Brøndby, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams show potential for scoring, as the probability for both teams to score is 55%, and there is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

In terms of recent form, Brøndby has had a mixed performance with a record of L-W-L-L-L-W, while Lyngby has been more consistent with L-D-W-W-D-W. Expected goals are closely matched, with Brøndby at 1.32 and Lyngby at 1.35, indicating a potentially tight contest. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Brondby and Lyngby team news

injuries & suspensions

Brondby news

No reported absences.

Lyngby news

  • O. Snorre — knee injury
  • S. Colyn — suspended

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brondby ↓ / Lyngby → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Brondby and Lyngby expected goals

Brondby 1.32
Lyngby 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.67

Brondby and Lyngby attack and defence ratings

Brondby

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Lyngby

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Brondby vs Lyngby markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brondby 49.2% 2.03 -18.9% 1.78
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.1% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.0% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brondby49.2%
Draw24.7%
Lyngby26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)50.8%
Handicap -1Brondby win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss65.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-28.3%
0-08.2%

Brondby vs Lyngby stats

Brondby and Lyngby recent form

newest first
Brondby LWLLLW
Lyngby LDWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Brondby and Lyngby season so far

league record

Brondby record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Lyngby record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brondby vs Lyngby head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Brondby vs Lyngby odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 23.4%, away 22.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.73 4.00 4.12
Bet365 1.75 3.80 4.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.80 4.10
Betano 1.78 4.00 4.25
Betfair 1.73 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.77 4.00 4.20
Marathonbet 1.71 4.00 4.15
Pinnacle 1.75 4.18 4.12
SBO 1.70 3.45 3.72
William Hill 1.75 3.80 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.74 ▲ +0.01
X 4.00 ▲ +0.02
2 4.13 ▲ +0.04

14 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Brondby Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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