Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Brondby vs Lyngby

5 – 2 Full time

23′Jacob Brøchner Ambæk
31′Olti Hyseni
32′David Helgi Aronsson
38′Jacob Brøchner Ambæk
40′Marcus Younis
45′Marcus YounisSho Fukuda
45′Isak ThorvaldssonDaniel Kristjansson
45′Oliver HøjerMikkel Fischer
51′Max Isaac Ejdum
55′Mikkel Fischer
62′Jacob Brøchner AmbækOskar Fenger
62′Max Isaac EjdumCasper Winther
63′Renzo TytensMathias Hebo Rasmussen
66′Jens Thomasen
71′Olti HyseniDaniel Wass
76′Oskar Fenger
77′Oliver Marc Rose-VilladsenChristopher Olivier
79′Frederik GytkjærMarkus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji
79′Jens ThomasenSanders Ngabo
80′Sho Fukuda
83′Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji
89′Munashe Garananga

Brøndby Stadion, CopenhagenReferee: Jacob A Sundberg

Brondby 49%
Draw 25%
Lyngby 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
40 Possession % 60
8 Corners 4
12 Fouls 15
7 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
323 Accurate passes 511

Brondby vs Lyngby overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brondby vs Lyngby

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrondbyDrawLyngby
Model35.0%28.4%36.5%
Market53.9%23.5%22.6%
Final49.2%24.7%26.1%
Edge-4.7%+1.2%+3.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brondby ↓ / Lyngby → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Brondby and Lyngby expected goals

Brondby 1.32
Lyngby 1.36

Total expected goals: 2.67

Brondby and Lyngby attack and defence ratings

Brondby

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Lyngby

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Brondby vs Lyngby: result vs prediction

Brondby 5 – 2 Lyngby

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Brondby vs Lyngby markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brondby 49.2% 2.03 -4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.2% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brondby49.2%
Draw24.7%
Lyngby26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Both teams to scoreYes55.6%
No44.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)50.8%
Handicap -1Brondby win16.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss65.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-28.3%
2-18.1%

Brondby vs Lyngby stats

Brondby and Lyngby recent form

newest first
Brondby LWLLLW
Lyngby LDWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Brondby and Lyngby going into this match

league record before kick-off

Brondby record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Lyngby record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brondby vs Lyngby head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Brondby wins 3Draws 2Lyngby wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-03BrondbyLyngbySuperliga1-1
2024-08-04LyngbyBrondbySuperliga0-2
2023-11-26LyngbyBrondbySuperliga3-3
2023-08-13BrondbyLyngbySuperliga3-0
2023-03-05LyngbyBrondbySuperliga1-0
2022-10-02BrondbyLyngbySuperliga3-3
2022-07-05BrondbyLyngbyFriendlies Clubs1-0
2022-01-22BrondbyLyngbyFriendlies Clubs1-4
2021-02-14LyngbyBrondbySuperliga0-4
2020-11-30BrondbyLyngbySuperliga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Brondby vs Lyngby odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 23.5%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.73 4.00 4.12
Bet365 1.73 3.80 4.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.80 4.10
Betano 1.75 3.95 4.35
Betfair 1.73 4.00 4.10
Dafabet 1.75 4.00 4.40
Marathonbet 1.71 4.00 4.15
Pinnacle 1.75 4.29 4.34
SBO 1.72 3.67 3.97
William Hill 1.70 3.90 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.73 —
X 3.98 —
2 4.13 ▲ +0.04

17 snapshots recorded, from .