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DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 32

Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland

0 – 3 Full time

9′M. Husseinzada
10′O. Solbakken
32′H. Rasmussen
46′M. LaursenE. Kolici
64′B. KoliciA. Ayhan
70′V. BerthelsenM. Brink
70′N. MarkmannV. Rutkjaer
70′O. SolbakkenW. Faber
72′A. Hussini
74′I. DeveciE. Alici
74′A. HussiniN. Alici
79′L. Sadio
80′H. RasmussenM. Kone
85′W. FaberP. Amoako
87′A. CumarM. Bach
Vatanspor 7%
Draw 16%
FC Nordsjaelland 77%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVatansporDrawFC Nordsjaelland
Model7.2%15.6%77.2%
Market———
Final7.2%15.6%77.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Nordsjaelland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vatanspor ↓ / FC Nordsjaella → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 12% 11% 13% 1 7% 9% 8% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 4%

Vatanspor and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals

Vatanspor 0.71
FC Nordsjaelland 2.59

Total expected goals: 3.30

Vatanspor and FC Nordsjaelland attack and defence ratings

Vatanspor

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.85 -15%

FC Nordsjaelland

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland: result vs prediction

Vatanspor 0 – 3 FC Nordsjaelland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Nordsjaelland 77.2% 1.30 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.8% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 FC Nordsjaelland win 56.4% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vatanspor7.2%
Draw15.6%
FC Nordsjaelland77.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)22.8%
12 (either side)84.4%
X2 (draw or away)92.8%
Handicap -1FC Nordsjaelland win56.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss22.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-212.4%
0-310.7%
0-18.9%

Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland stats

Vatanspor and FC Nordsjaelland recent form

newest first
Vatanspor WW
FC Nordsjaelland WDLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Vatanspor vs FC Nordsjaelland odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.