DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Frederikssund
vs
Sundby
2 – 3 Full time
Frederikssund
9%
Draw
13%
Sundby
79%
Frederikssund vs Sundby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Frederikssund vs Sundby
| Probability | Frederikssund | Draw | Sundby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.6% | 12.8% | 78.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 8.6% | 12.8% | 78.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sundby
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.31 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
82%
No goals
2%
Frederikssund and Sundby expected goals
Frederikssund
1.12
Sundby
3.31
Total expected goals: 4.43
Frederikssund and Sundby attack and defence ratings
Frederikssund
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Sundby
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Frederikssund vs Sundby: result vs prediction
Frederikssund 2 – 3 Sundby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Frederikssund vs Sundby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sundby | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sundby win | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frederikssund | 8.6% |
| Draw | 12.8% | |
| Sundby | 78.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 21.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sundby win | 61.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 21.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 8.1% |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | |
| 0-3 | 7.2% |
Frederikssund vs Sundby stats
Frederikssund and Sundby recent form
| Frederikssund |
W |
| Sundby |
WLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Frederikssund vs Sundby head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Frederikssund wins
0Draws
1Sundby wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-18 | Sundby | Frederikssund | Denmark Series - Promotion Round | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Frederikssund | Sundby | Denmark Series - Promotion Round | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.