Esbjerg
vs
Vendsyssel FF
0 – 2 Full time
Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF
| Probability | Esbjerg | Draw | Vendsyssel FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 22.6% | 28.4% |
| Market | 42.6% | 25.9% | 31.4% |
| Final | 44.2% | 25.1% | 30.7% |
| Edge | +6.4% | -3.4% | -3.0% |
Why Esbjerg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.59.
- The market prices Esbjerg below the model: +6.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Esbjerg and Vendsyssel FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.72
Esbjerg and Vendsyssel FF attack and defence ratings
Esbjerg
Vendsyssel FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF: result vs prediction
Esbjerg 0 – 2 Vendsyssel FF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 44.2% | 2.26 | +6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 44.2% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Vendsyssel FF | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.9% |
| No | 29.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Esbjerg win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF stats
Esbjerg and Vendsyssel FF recent form
| Esbjerg |
WLLLWW |
| Vendsyssel FF |
WWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Esbjerg and Vendsyssel FF going into this match
Esbjerg record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Vendsyssel FF record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 25.9%, away 31.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.16 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.62 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.62 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.71 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.26 | 2.83 |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .