Garuda Lions
Today
DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 64

Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF

1 – 2 Full time

Fuglebakken KFUM 7%
Draw 11%
Vendsyssel FF 82%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFuglebakken KFUMDrawVendsyssel FF
Model16.1%21.7%62.2%
Market4.1%7.7%88.2%
Final7.1%11.2%81.7%
Edge+12.0%+14.0%-26.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Vendsyssel FF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.01.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fuglebakken KF ↓ / Vendsyssel FF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 8% 10% 7% 6% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Fuglebakken KFUM and Vendsyssel FF expected goals

Fuglebakken KFUM 1.01
Vendsyssel FF 2.15

Total expected goals: 3.17

Fuglebakken KFUM and Vendsyssel FF attack and defence ratings

Fuglebakken KFUM

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Vendsyssel FF

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF: result vs prediction

Fuglebakken KFUM 1 – 2 Vendsyssel FF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vendsyssel FF 81.7% 1.22 -26.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.9% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Vendsyssel FF win 40.1% 2.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fuglebakken KFUM7.1%
Draw11.2%
Vendsyssel FF81.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes57.6%
No42.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)18.3%
12 (either side)88.8%
X2 (draw or away)92.9%
Handicap -1Vendsyssel FF win40.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss37.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.1%
1-29.9%
0-29.7%

Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF stats

Fuglebakken KFUM and Vendsyssel FF recent form

newest first
Fuglebakken KFUM W
Vendsyssel FF WLDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 4.1%, draw 7.7%, away 88.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 23.00 12.00 1.05
Dafabet 23.00 12.00 1.05
Superbet 22.00 12.00 1.04
Unibet 14.00 10.00 1.07

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 22.50 ▲ +2.50
X 12.00 ▲ +2.00
2 1.05 ▼ -0.01

3 snapshots recorded, from .