Hvidovre
vs
FC Fredericia
2 – 1 Full time
Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia
| Probability | Hvidovre | Draw | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 28.2% | 47.1% |
| Market | 30.3% | 26.8% | 42.8% |
| Final | 28.9% | 27.2% | 43.9% |
| Edge | -5.7% | +1.4% | +4.3% |
Why FC Fredericia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.04.
- The market prices FC Fredericia below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hvidovre and FC Fredericia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Hvidovre and FC Fredericia attack and defence ratings
Hvidovre
FC Fredericia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia: result vs prediction
Hvidovre 2 – 1 FC Fredericia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Fredericia | 43.9% | 2.28 | +4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 28.9% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| FC Fredericia | 43.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% |
| No | 48.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win | 24.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.3% |
Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia stats
Hvidovre and FC Fredericia recent form
| Hvidovre |
DWWLWD |
| FC Fredericia |
LDWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hvidovre and FC Fredericia going into this match
Hvidovre record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC Fredericia record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 26.8%, away 42.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.16 |
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.16 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| Marathonbet | 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17 | 3.51 | 2.17 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .