Šiauliai
vs
Minija
Garuda Lions Prediction: Minija
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 1.03.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Šiauliai vs Minija overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Šiauliai vs Minija
| Probability | Šiauliai | Draw | Minija |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.4% | 29.9% | 42.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.4% | 29.9% | 42.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Minija
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 1.03.
Šiauliai vs Minija match preview
In the upcoming A Lyga match, Šiauliai faces Minija with probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. Our model assigns a 27% chance of a Šiauliai victory, a 30% likelihood of a draw, and a 43% probability that Minija will win. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. Šiauliai's expected goals stand at 1.03, while Minija's is slightly higher at 1.35.
Šiauliai's recent form shows two wins, one draw, and three losses, while Minija's form is not specified. Historically, in their last five encounters, Šiauliai has dominated with four wins and one draw against Minija, who has yet to secure a victory. The model also suggests a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% probability for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Šiauliai and Minija expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Šiauliai and Minija attack and defence ratings
Šiauliai
Minija
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Final fixtures
Before and after this match
Šiauliai vs Minija markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Minija | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Šiauliai | 27.4% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Minija | 42.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Minija win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 11.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.5% |
Šiauliai vs Minija stats
Šiauliai and Minija recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Šiauliai and Minija season so far
Šiauliai record
- They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 6 penalties (50%).
Šiauliai vs Minija head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-20 | Šiauliai | Minija | 1 Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-18 | Minija | Šiauliai | 1 Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2020-06-27 | Minija | Šiauliai | 1 Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2019-09-21 | Šiauliai | Minija | 1 Lyga | 5-0 |
| 2019-06-01 | Minija | Šiauliai | 1 Lyga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.