Minija
vs
Šiauliai
Garuda Lions Prediction: Minija
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.86.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Minija vs Šiauliai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Minija vs Šiauliai
| Probability | Minija | Draw | Šiauliai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.4% | 27.0% | 18.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.4% | 27.0% | 18.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Minija
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.86.
Minija vs Šiauliai match preview
Minija faces Šiauliai in an upcoming A Lyga match, with Minija holding a 54% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Minija are 1.63, while Šiauliai is forecasted to score 0.86. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Minija, with a 12% likelihood.
Šiauliai comes into this match with a mixed recent form, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. In the last five head-to-head encounters, Šiauliai has dominated with four wins and one draw against Minija, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 45%, and both teams to score is at 47%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Minija and Šiauliai expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Minija and Šiauliai attack and defence ratings
Minija
Šiauliai
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Final fixtures
Before and after this match
Minija vs Šiauliai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Minija | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Minija | 54.4% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Šiauliai | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.5% |
| No | 52.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Minija win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
Minija vs Šiauliai stats
Minija and Šiauliai recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Minija and Šiauliai season so far
Šiauliai record
- They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 6 penalties (50%).
Minija vs Šiauliai head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-20 | Šiauliai | Minija | 1 Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-18 | Minija | Šiauliai | 1 Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2020-06-27 | Minija | Šiauliai | 1 Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2019-09-21 | Šiauliai | Minija | 1 Lyga | 5-0 |
| 2019-06-01 | Minija | Šiauliai | 1 Lyga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.