Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 6

Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste

3 – 2 Full time

19′R. Matis
37′R. Lapadatescu
37′V. BogdanK. Doukoure
52′I. Nastasie
55′Y. Sorescu
60′S. MagyariA. Stan
60′I. NastasieS. Gheoroae
62′A. Baluta
65′R. MihaiD. Popadiuc
68′R. GranjaA. S. Solcan
70′F. Gaspar
75′R. MatisA. Stan
75′P. MunozE. Pacionel
77′Totti
81′C. NegutA. Bilali
82′R. Riza
84′E. Pacionel
90′R. Riza

May 1 Stadium, Slatina

Slatina 49%
Draw 26%
Chindia Targoviste 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlatinaDrawChindia Targoviste
Model63.9%23.0%13.1%
Market43.6%27.5%28.9%
Final48.7%26.4%24.9%
Edge+20.3%-4.5%-15.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Slatina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.77.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Slatina below the model: +20.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slatina ↓ / Chindia Targov → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 13% 10% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Slatina and Chindia Targoviste expected goals

Slatina 1.94
Chindia Targoviste 0.77

Total expected goals: 2.70

Slatina and Chindia Targoviste attack and defence ratings

Slatina

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.57 -43%

Chindia Targoviste

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste: result vs prediction

Slatina 3 – 2 Chindia Targoviste

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slatina 48.7% 2.05 +20.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score No 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Slatina win 39.6% 2.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slatina48.7%
Draw26.4%
Chindia Targoviste24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%
Both teams to scoreYes46.9%
No53.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)51.3%
Handicap -1Slatina win39.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss36.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.5%
1-012.0%
1-110.9%

Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste stats

Slatina and Chindia Targoviste recent form

newest first
Slatina DWWWWW
Chindia Targoviste WLWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slatina and Chindia Targoviste going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slatina record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Chindia Targoviste record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

0Slatina wins 4Draws 2Chindia Targoviste wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-01SlatinaChindia TargovisteLiga II1-1
2025-05-10Chindia TargovisteSlatinaLiga II1-1
2025-02-22SlatinaChindia TargovisteLiga II0-0
2024-05-11Chindia TargovisteSlatinaLiga II3-0
2024-02-17Chindia TargovisteSlatinaFriendlies Clubs1-0
2023-08-12SlatinaChindia TargovisteLiga II0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slatina vs Chindia Targoviste odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 27.5%, away 28.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.15 3.25 3.10
1xBet 2.10 3.32 3.08
Bet365 1.90 3.60 3.25
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.30
Betano 2.10 3.35 3.30
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.10
Dafabet 2.08 3.40 3.25
Marathonbet 1.95 3.44 3.24
Pinnacle 1.93 3.51 3.32
Superbet 2.30 3.20 3.10
Unibet 2.18 3.10 3.05
William Hill 2.10 3.30 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.20
X 3.33 ▲ +0.29
2 3.17 ▲ +0.27

10 snapshots recorded, from .