Garuda Lions
Today
Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 5

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste

1 – 3 Full time

Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass, Buzau

Metalul Buzău 41%
Draw 29%
Chindia Targoviste 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetalul BuzăuDrawChindia Targoviste
Model54.8%25.8%19.3%
Market36.7%29.4%33.9%
Final41.2%28.5%30.3%
Edge+18.2%-3.6%-14.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Metalul Buzău

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Metalul Buzău below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metalul Buzău ↓ / Chindia Targov → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste expected goals

Metalul Buzău 1.74
Chindia Targoviste 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.69

Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste attack and defence ratings

Metalul Buzău

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Chindia Targoviste

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste: result vs prediction

Metalul Buzău 1 – 3 Chindia Targoviste

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metalul Buzău 41.2% 2.43 +18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metalul Buzău41.2%
Draw28.5%
Chindia Targoviste30.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.5%
Under 2.549.5%
Both teams to scoreYes51.8%
No48.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.7%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.8%
Handicap -1Metalul Buzău win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss45.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-010.7%
2-010.3%

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste stats

Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste recent form

newest first
Metalul Buzău LWWDWL
Chindia Targoviste LWWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metalul Buzău record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Chindia Targoviste record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Metalul Buzău wins 1Draws 0Chindia Targoviste wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Chindia TargovisteMetalul BuzăuLiga II2-3
2024-10-26Chindia TargovisteMetalul BuzăuLiga II0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 29.4%, away 33.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.45 3.05 2.65
Betano 2.45 3.10 2.85
Betfair 2.45 3.00 2.63
Marathonbet 2.45 3.05 2.65
Unibet 2.60 3.05 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 —
X 3.05 —
2 2.65 —

8 snapshots recorded, from .