Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 5

CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia

2 – 1 Full time

Stadionul Comunal Afumati, Afumati

CS Afumati 46%
Draw 28%
Unirea Slobozia 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS AfumatiDrawUnirea Slobozia
Model47.0%30.1%22.9%
Market45.0%27.8%27.2%
Final45.5%28.4%26.1%
Edge+2.0%+2.3%-4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why CS Afumati

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices CS Afumati below the model: +2.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Afumati ↓ / Unirea Slobozi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

CS Afumati and Unirea Slobozia expected goals

CS Afumati 1.37
Unirea Slobozia 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.26

CS Afumati and Unirea Slobozia attack and defence ratings

CS Afumati

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Unirea Slobozia

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia: result vs prediction

CS Afumati 2 – 1 Unirea Slobozia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Afumati 45.5% 2.20 +2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Afumati45.5%
Draw28.4%
Unirea Slobozia26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.3%
Under 2.560.7%
Both teams to scoreYes45.1%
No54.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.5%
Handicap -1CS Afumati win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-013.1%
0-011.7%

CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia stats

CS Afumati and Unirea Slobozia recent form

newest first
CS Afumati DLLWLW
Unirea Slobozia LLLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Afumati and Unirea Slobozia going into this match

league record before kick-off

CS Afumati record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Unirea Slobozia record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 27.8%, away 27.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.24 3.33
Betano 2.07 3.25 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.40
Marathonbet 2.01 3.24 3.26
Unibet 1.97 3.25 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.01 ▲ +0.04
X 3.25 ▼ -0.05
2 3.33 ▼ -0.12

8 snapshots recorded, from .