CSM Reşiţa
vs
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2 – 1 Full time
CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
| Probability | CSM Reşiţa | Draw | CSA Steaua Bucureşti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.9% | 23.1% | 24.0% |
| Market | 44.2% | 28.0% | 27.9% |
| Final | 46.4% | 26.7% | 26.9% |
| Edge | +8.7% | -4.8% | -3.9% |
Why CSM Reşiţa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices CSM Reşiţa below the model: +8.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSM Reşiţa and CSA Steaua Bucureşti expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
CSM Reşiţa and CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack and defence ratings
CSM Reşiţa
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti: result vs prediction
CSM Reşiţa 2 – 1 CSA Steaua Bucureşti
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Metaloglobus vs Concordia
- CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- Metalul Buzău v Chindia Targoviste — match page
- Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
- Bihor Oradea v Ştefăneşti — match page
- Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare
- Cetatea Suceava v Popești-Leordeni — match page
Before and after this match
CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Reşiţa | 46.4% | 2.16 | +8.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Reşiţa | 46.4% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | CSM Reşiţa win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti stats
CSM Reşiţa and CSA Steaua Bucureşti recent form
| CSM Reşiţa |
LWWWLL |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti |
DLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSM Reşiţa and CSA Steaua Bucureşti going into this match
CSM Reşiţa record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | CSM Reşiţa | Liga II | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | CSM Reşiţa | Liga II | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-17 | CSM Reşiţa | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga II | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-20 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | CSM Reşiţa | Liga II | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-24 | CSM Reşiţa | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga II | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 28.0%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.24 | 3.28 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.24 | 3.22 |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .