Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 5

Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni

1 – 1 Full time

Areni Stadium, Suceava

Cetatea Suceava 36%
Draw 26%
Popești-Leordeni 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCetatea SuceavaDrawPopești-Leordeni
Model35.5%25.6%38.9%
Market———
Final35.5%25.6%38.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cetatea Suceav ↓ / Popești-Leorde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Cetatea Suceava and Popești-Leordeni expected goals

Cetatea Suceava 1.55
Popești-Leordeni 1.63

Total expected goals: 3.18

Cetatea Suceava and Popești-Leordeni attack and defence ratings

Cetatea Suceava

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Popești-Leordeni

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni: result vs prediction

Cetatea Suceava 1 – 1 Popești-Leordeni

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Popești-Leordeni 38.9% 2.57 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.3% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.1% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cetatea Suceava35.5%
Draw25.6%
Popești-Leordeni38.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes64.3%
No35.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.1%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)64.5%
Handicap -1Popești-Leordeni win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss61.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
1-28.6%
2-18.1%

Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni stats

Cetatea Suceava and Popești-Leordeni recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Cetatea Suceava and Popești-Leordeni going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cetatea Suceava record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Popești-Leordeni record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.