Dumbrăviţa
vs
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
0 – 1 Full time
Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
| Probability | Dumbrăviţa | Draw | CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 32.3% | 26.5% |
| Market | 33.5% | 29.9% | 36.5% |
| Final | 35.4% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
| Edge | +7.6% | +2.4% | -10.0% |
Why Dumbrăviţa
- The market prices Dumbrăviţa below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dumbrăviţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Dumbrăviţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea attack and defence ratings
Dumbrăviţa
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea: result vs prediction
Dumbrăviţa 0 – 1 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Metaloglobus vs Concordia
- CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Metalul Buzău v Chindia Targoviste — match page
- CS Dinamo București vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
- Bihor Oradea v Ştefăneşti — match page
- Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare
- Cetatea Suceava v Popești-Leordeni — match page
Before and after this match
Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dumbrăviţa | 35.4% | 2.82 | +7.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dumbrăviţa | 35.4% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 34.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.5% |
| No | 57.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dumbrăviţa win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.4% |
Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea stats
Dumbrăviţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea recent form
| Dumbrăviţa |
DDLDWL |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
DLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dumbrăviţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea going into this match
Dumbrăviţa record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.5%, draw 29.9%, away 36.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.68 | 3.00 | 2.46 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.05 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.68 | 3.00 | 2.46 |
| Unibet | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.48 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .