Gloria Bistriţa
vs
CSM Satu Mare
1 – 0 Full time
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare
| Probability | Gloria Bistriţa | Draw | CSM Satu Mare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.9% | 27.0% | 19.1% |
| Market | 60.0% | 23.0% | 17.0% |
| Final | 58.5% | 24.0% | 17.5% |
| Edge | -6.2% | +4.0% | +2.1% |
Why Gloria Bistriţa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Satu Mare expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Satu Mare attack and defence ratings
Gloria Bistriţa
CSM Satu Mare
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare: result vs prediction
Gloria Bistriţa 1 – 0 CSM Satu Mare
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Metaloglobus vs Concordia
- CS Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Metalul Buzău v Chindia Targoviste — match page
- Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
- Bihor Oradea v Ştefăneşti — match page
- Cetatea Suceava v Popești-Leordeni — match page
Before and after this match
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 58.5% | 1.71 | -6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 58.5% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| CSM Satu Mare | 17.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gloria Bistriţa win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.8% |
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare stats
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Satu Mare recent form
| Gloria Bistriţa |
LLWWWD |
| CSM Satu Mare |
DLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Satu Mare going into this match
Gloria Bistriţa record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Satu Mare record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Gloria Bistriţa | CSM Satu Mare | Liga II | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | CSM Satu Mare | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga III - Serie 10 | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Gloria Bistriţa | CSM Satu Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-01 | CSM Satu Mare | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga III - Serie 10 | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-26 | CSM Satu Mare | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga III - Serie 10 | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-23 | Gloria Bistriţa | CSM Satu Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.0%, draw 23.0%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 3.92 | 5.55 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 3.92 | 5.35 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 3.85 | 5.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .