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Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 6

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara

1 – 1 Full time

11′A. Micsa
12′K. Vida
31′L. Bara
31′D. SpataruK. Appiah Nyarko
43′S. Draghici
48′K. Appiah Nyarko
56′J. Sergiu
58′M. DraghiceanuV. Ardeiu
58′S. JurjJ. Mwanga
58′M. MiclausC. Matei
64′P. CopaciC. Zamfir
69′V. Ardeiu
71′E. DanilaM. Kereki
79′I. DoanaR. Burlacu
79′I. VasluianR. Benzar
79′O. PopescuI. Rotariu
85′S. StefanoviciM. Dolghi
90′C. Zamfir

Daniel Prodan Stadium, Satu Mare

CSM Satu Mare 17%
Draw 25%
FC Politehnica Timisoara 58%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSM Satu MareDrawFC Politehnica Timisoara
Model20.9%28.6%50.5%
Market16.2%23.4%60.4%
Final17.4%24.7%58.0%
Edge+4.7%+5.2%-9.9%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Politehnica Timisoara

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSM Satu Mare ↓ / FC Politehnica → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 13% 10% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

CSM Satu Mare and FC Politehnica Timisoara expected goals

CSM Satu Mare 0.88
FC Politehnica Timisoara 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.37

CSM Satu Mare and FC Politehnica Timisoara attack and defence ratings

CSM Satu Mare

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.93 -7%

FC Politehnica Timisoara

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara: result vs prediction

CSM Satu Mare 1 – 1 FC Politehnica Timisoara

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Politehnica Timisoara 58.0% 1.73 -9.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.8% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSM Satu Mare17.4%
Draw24.7%
FC Politehnica Timisoara58.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.4%
Under 2.557.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.6%
No53.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.0%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)82.6%
Handicap -1FC Politehnica Timisoara win26.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss49.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
0-112.7%
0-010.5%

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara stats

CSM Satu Mare and FC Politehnica Timisoara recent form

newest first
CSM Satu Mare LDLLDD
FC Politehnica Timisoara WWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSM Satu Mare and FC Politehnica Timisoara going into this match

league record before kick-off

CSM Satu Mare record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

FC Politehnica Timisoara record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2CSM Satu Mare wins 0Draws 0FC Politehnica Timisoara wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-06-04FC Politehnica TimisoaraCSM Satu MareLiga III - Play-offs1-2
2025-05-31CSM Satu MareFC Politehnica TimisoaraLiga III - Play-offs2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSM Satu Mare vs FC Politehnica Timisoara odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.0%, draw 23.3%, away 60.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.93 3.88 1.48
Bet365 5.25 3.75 1.50
BetVictor 5.75 3.90 1.50
Betano 5.60 4.05 1.52
Betfair 6.00 4.33 1.40
Dafabet 5.80 4.20 1.50
Marathonbet 5.70 3.88 1.47
Pinnacle 5.39 3.88 1.51
Superbet 5.70 4.25 1.51
Unibet 6.50 4.25 1.38
William Hill 5.50 3.60 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.60 —
X 3.88 ▼ -0.32
2 1.50 ▲ +0.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .