Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 5

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures

3 – 0 Full time

Stadionul Electrica

FC Politehnica Timisoara 53%
Draw 28%
ASA Targu Mures 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Politehnica TimisoaraDrawASA Targu Mures
Model53.2%27.6%19.2%
Market———
Final53.2%27.6%19.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Politehnica Timisoara

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.86.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Politehnica ↓ / ASA Targu Mure → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

FC Politehnica Timisoara and ASA Targu Mures expected goals

FC Politehnica Timisoara 1.58
ASA Targu Mures 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.43

FC Politehnica Timisoara and ASA Targu Mures attack and defence ratings

FC Politehnica Timisoara

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.73 -27%

ASA Targu Mures

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures: result vs prediction

FC Politehnica Timisoara 3 – 0 ASA Targu Mures

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Politehnica Timisoara 53.2% 1.88 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.8% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.9% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Politehnica Timisoara53.2%
Draw27.6%
ASA Targu Mures19.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.9%
Under 2.556.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.8%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)46.8%
Handicap -1FC Politehnica Timisoara win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss46.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-012.7%
2-010.9%

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures stats

FC Politehnica Timisoara and ASA Targu Mures recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

FC Politehnica Timisoara and ASA Targu Mures going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Politehnica Timisoara record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

ASA Targu Mures record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs ASA Targu Mures odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.