Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 7

Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare

1 – 1 Full time

5′F. Purece
20′CSM Satu Mare
24′D. Golda
67′I. Ndon
78′CSM Satu Mare
90′G. Gavrilas
90′Junior Morais

Metaloglobus Stadium, Bucharest

Metaloglobus 51%
Draw 26%
CSM Satu Mare 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetaloglobusDrawCSM Satu Mare
Model41.5%27.9%30.7%
Market53.6%25.8%20.6%
Final50.6%26.3%23.1%
Edge-12.1%+2.1%+10.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Metaloglobus

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metaloglobus ↓ / CSM Satu Mare → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Metaloglobus and CSM Satu Mare expected goals

Metaloglobus 1.48
CSM Satu Mare 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.73

Metaloglobus and CSM Satu Mare attack and defence ratings

Metaloglobus

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.23 +23%

CSM Satu Mare

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare: result vs prediction

Metaloglobus 1 – 1 CSM Satu Mare

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metaloglobus 50.6% 1.98 -12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metaloglobus50.6%
Draw26.3%
CSM Satu Mare23.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.9%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Metaloglobus win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
2-18.9%
1-08.5%

Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare stats

Metaloglobus and CSM Satu Mare recent form

newest first
Metaloglobus LLWWLD
CSM Satu Mare DLDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metaloglobus and CSM Satu Mare going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metaloglobus record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

CSM Satu Mare record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Metaloglobus vs CSM Satu Mare odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 25.8%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.71 3.42 4.48
Bet365 1.67 3.60 4.33
BetVictor 1.67 3.70 4.50
Marathonbet 1.69 3.42 4.40
Pinnacle 1.72 3.51 4.15

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.