Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 7

Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni

2 – 3 Full time

4′M. Neicutescu
8′E. Asibey
17′I. Chukwu
18′B. Firtinescu
33′Q. Taiwo
39′M. NeicutescuC. Balgiu
42′J. King
46′B. FirtinescuN. Leafu
64′C. Gheorghe
64′Gloria Bistriţa
68′A. Capraru
76′A. CapraruR. Mustaca
84′l. Nadolu
85′I. Chukwu
89′Q. TaiwoM. Ion

Stadionul Jean Padureanu

Gloria Bistriţa 50%
Draw 27%
Popești-Leordeni 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGloria BistriţaDrawPopești-Leordeni
Model48.4%26.3%25.2%
Market51.2%26.9%22.0%
Final50.5%26.7%22.8%
Edge-2.7%-0.5%+3.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Gloria Bistriţa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gloria Bistriţ ↓ / Popești-Leorde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Gloria Bistriţa and Popești-Leordeni expected goals

Gloria Bistriţa 1.69
Popești-Leordeni 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.85

Gloria Bistriţa and Popești-Leordeni attack and defence ratings

Gloria Bistriţa

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Popești-Leordeni

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni: result vs prediction

Gloria Bistriţa 2 – 3 Popești-Leordeni

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gloria Bistriţa 50.5% 1.98 -2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.2% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gloria Bistriţa50.5%
Draw26.7%
Popești-Leordeni22.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.3%
Under 2.545.7%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)49.5%
Handicap -1Gloria Bistriţa win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-19.6%
1-08.6%

Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni stats

Gloria Bistriţa and Popești-Leordeni recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gloria Bistriţa and Popești-Leordeni going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gloria Bistriţa record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Popești-Leordeni record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 26.9%, away 22.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.35 4.38
Bet365 1.80 3.25 3.90
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.10
Marathonbet 1.72 3.35 4.30
Pinnacle 1.76 3.34 4.06

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.