Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 7

Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea

4 – 0 Full time

23′A. Aftanache
35′Cetatea Suceava
37′D. ButisteanuE. Croitoru
43′G. Raducan
45′Cetatea Suceava
45′CSM Ramnicu Valcea
47′G. Raducan
52′Cetatea Suceava
54′CSM Ramnicu Valcea
66′A. Aftanache
69′CSM Ramnicu Valcea
73′Cetatea Suceava
78′CSM Ramnicu Valcea
84′V. Kyrychenko

Areni Stadium, Suceava

Cetatea Suceava 46%
Draw 27%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCetatea SuceavaDrawCSM Ramnicu Valcea
Model45.3%27.8%26.9%
Market46.1%26.9%27.1%
Final45.9%27.1%27.0%
Edge-0.7%+0.9%-0.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Cetatea Suceava

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.14.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cetatea Suceav ↓ / CSM Ramnicu Va → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Cetatea Suceava and CSM Ramnicu Valcea expected goals

Cetatea Suceava 1.54
CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1.14

Total expected goals: 2.67

Cetatea Suceava and CSM Ramnicu Valcea attack and defence ratings

Cetatea Suceava

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.06 +6%

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea: result vs prediction

Cetatea Suceava 4 – 0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cetatea Suceava 45.9% 2.18 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.5% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.7% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cetatea Suceava45.9%
Draw27.1%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea27.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Both teams to scoreYes54.5%
No45.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.0%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)54.1%
Handicap -1Cetatea Suceava win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss54.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-09.4%
2-19.3%

Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea stats

Cetatea Suceava and CSM Ramnicu Valcea recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cetatea Suceava and CSM Ramnicu Valcea going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cetatea Suceava record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

CSM Ramnicu Valcea record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 26.9%, away 27.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.97 3.34 3.39
Bet365 1.95 3.25 3.30
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 3.20
Marathonbet 1.95 3.34 3.32
Pinnacle 1.93 3.44 3.38

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.