Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 8

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava

2 – 2 Full time

22′FC Bacau
32′A. Pavel
55′T. Lacerda
56′P. PetreD. Luncasu
56′R. MoiseG. Albu
64′P. MitricaR. Ciobanu
74′S. FerhaouiD. Bujor
74′G. RaducanV. Kyrychenko
76′R. SumanariuR. Farcas
77′Cetatea Suceava
80′Cetatea Suceava
84′L. Fulop
84′C. GolofcaM. Ilie
84′L. FulopC. Tucaliuc
85′Cetatea Suceava
89′T. LacerdaC. Oasenegre
90′C. Oasenegre

Baza Sportiva FC Bacau

FC Bacau 50%
Draw 25%
Cetatea Suceava 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC BacauDrawCetatea Suceava
Model52.7%23.8%23.5%
Market49.5%25.3%25.2%
Final50.3%24.9%24.8%
Edge+3.1%-1.5%-1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Bacau

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.27.
  • The market prices FC Bacau below the model: +3.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Bacau ↓ / Cetatea Suceav → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

FC Bacau and Cetatea Suceava expected goals

FC Bacau 1.97
Cetatea Suceava 1.27

Total expected goals: 3.24

FC Bacau and Cetatea Suceava attack and defence ratings

FC Bacau

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Cetatea Suceava

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava: result vs prediction

FC Bacau 2 – 2 Cetatea Suceava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Bacau 50.3% 1.99 +3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.7% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.8% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Bacau50.3%
Draw24.9%
Cetatea Suceava24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.7%
Under 2.537.3%
Both teams to scoreYes62.8%
No37.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)49.7%
Handicap -1FC Bacau win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.7%
2-07.6%

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava stats

FC Bacau and Cetatea Suceava recent form

newest first
FC Bacau WWDDWL
Cetatea Suceava WDDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Bacau and Cetatea Suceava going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Bacau record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cetatea Suceava record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.5%, draw 25.3%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.79 3.55 3.72
Bet365 1.83 3.60 3.50
BetVictor 1.83 3.70 3.60
Betano 1.88 3.70 3.60
Betfair 1.80 3.75 3.60
Marathonbet 1.77 3.55 3.62
Pinnacle 1.85 3.57 3.51
William Hill 1.85 3.30 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▲ +0.13
X 3.58 ▼ -0.02
2 3.60 ▼ -1.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .