Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 9

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa

3 – 1 Full time

45′V. Cimbru
48′G. Raducan
52′G. Raducan
56′R. Gunie
57′A. SeroniR. Butnarasu
57′S. PopoviciF. Cibi
57′R. GunieD. Mucuta
70′R. SumanariuV. Kyrychenko
70′S. FerhaouiD. Bujor
70′N. PopD. Datcu
70′B. VasileC. Padurariu
75′F. Cibi
75′A. AftanacheA. Burdet
79′D. BujorC. Tucaliuc
84′C. Tucaliuc
88′R. Curescu

Areni Stadium, Suceava

Cetatea Suceava 68%
Draw 20%
Dumbrăviţa 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCetatea SuceavaDrawDumbrăviţa
Model74.9%17.0%8.1%
Market65.4%20.8%13.8%
Final67.8%19.9%12.4%
Edge+2.4%-0.9%-1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cetatea Suceava

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cetatea Suceava below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cetatea Suceav ↓ / Dumbrăviţa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 13% 9% 3 10% 7% 4+ 11% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa expected goals

Cetatea Suceava 2.45
Dumbrăviţa 0.71

Total expected goals: 3.16

Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa attack and defence ratings

Cetatea Suceava

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Dumbrăviţa

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa: result vs prediction

Cetatea Suceava 3 – 1 Dumbrăviţa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cetatea Suceava 67.8% 1.48 +2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.6% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Cetatea Suceava win 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cetatea Suceava67.8%
Draw19.9%
Dumbrăviţa12.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
Both teams to scoreYes47.2%
No52.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.6%
12 (either side)80.1%
X2 (draw or away)32.2%
Handicap -1Cetatea Suceava win53.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss25.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.7%
3-010.4%
1-09.7%

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa stats

Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cetatea Suceava record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Dumbrăviţa record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.4%, draw 20.8%, away 13.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.36 4.30 7.07
Bet365 1.38 4.33 6.25
BetVictor 1.36 4.50 7.00
Betano 1.50 4.15 5.70
Betfair 1.36 4.60 6.50
Dafabet 1.49 4.30 5.60
Marathonbet 1.35 4.30 6.70
Pinnacle 1.37 4.49 6.46
William Hill 1.40 4.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.37 ▼ -0.23
X 4.30 ▲ +0.72
2 6.50 ▲ +1.25

12 snapshots recorded, from .