Cetatea Suceava
vs
Dumbrăviţa
3 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | V. Cimbru | ||
| 48′ | G. Raducan | ||
| 52′ | G. Raducan | ||
| 56′ | R. Gunie | ||
| 57′ | A. SeroniR. Butnarasu | ||
| 57′ | S. PopoviciF. Cibi | ||
| 57′ | R. GunieD. Mucuta | ||
| 70′ | R. SumanariuV. Kyrychenko | ||
| 70′ | S. FerhaouiD. Bujor | ||
| 70′ | N. PopD. Datcu | ||
| 70′ | B. VasileC. Padurariu | ||
| 75′ | F. Cibi | ||
| 75′ | A. AftanacheA. Burdet | ||
| 79′ | D. BujorC. Tucaliuc | ||
| 84′ | C. Tucaliuc | ||
| 88′ | R. Curescu |
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa
| Probability | Cetatea Suceava | Draw | Dumbrăviţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.9% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| Market | 65.4% | 20.8% | 13.8% |
| Final | 67.8% | 19.9% | 12.4% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -0.9% | -1.4% |
Why Cetatea Suceava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cetatea Suceava below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa attack and defence ratings
Cetatea Suceava
Dumbrăviţa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa: result vs prediction
Cetatea Suceava 3 – 1 Dumbrăviţa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- FC Politehnica Timisoara v CSA Steaua Bucureşti — match page
- Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia — team news & stats
- Metaloglobus vs Popești-Leordeni
- Metalul Buzău v ASA Targu Mures — match page
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare
- Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea — team news & stats
- CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina
Before and after this match
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cetatea Suceava | 67.8% | 1.48 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cetatea Suceava win | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cetatea Suceava | 67.8% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Dumbrăviţa | 12.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cetatea Suceava win | 53.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 25.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.7% |
| 3-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.7% |
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa stats
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa recent form
| DWDDLW | |
| LLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa going into this match
Cetatea Suceava record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Dumbrăviţa record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.4%, draw 20.8%, away 13.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 4.30 | 7.07 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.15 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.30 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 4.49 | 6.46 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .