Cetatea Suceava
vs
Dumbrăviţa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cetatea Suceava
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa
| Probability | Cetatea Suceava | Draw | Dumbrăviţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.9% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| Market | 65.4% | 20.8% | 13.8% |
| Final | 67.8% | 19.9% | 12.4% |
| Edge | +9.5% | -3.8% | -5.7% |
Why Cetatea Suceava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cetatea Suceava below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa match preview
Cetatea Suceava faces Dumbrăviţa in their upcoming Liga II match, with a strong probability of victory for the home side at 68%. The expected goals for Cetatea Suceava stand at 2.45, while Dumbrăviţa is projected to score only 0.71. Recent form indicates a mixed performance for Cetatea Suceava, with their last five matches resulting in two wins, two draws, and one loss. In contrast, Dumbrăviţa has struggled significantly, recording four losses and only one draw in their last six games.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 13% probability. Additionally, there is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. This matchup suggests a clear advantage for Cetatea Suceava based on current statistics and performance trends.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa attack and defence ratings
Cetatea Suceava
Dumbrăviţa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia — team news & stats
- Metaloglobus vs Popești-Leordeni
- Metalul Buzău v ASA Targu Mures — match page
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare
- Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea — team news & stats
- CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina
- CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cetatea Suceava | 67.8% | 1.48 | +9.5% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cetatea Suceava win | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cetatea Suceava | 67.8% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Dumbrăviţa | 12.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cetatea Suceava win | 53.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 25.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.7% |
| 3-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.7% |
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa stats
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa recent form
| Cetatea Suceava |
DWDDLW |
| Dumbrăviţa |
LLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa season so far
Cetatea Suceava record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Dumbrăviţa record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.4%, draw 20.8%, away 13.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 4.30 | 7.07 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.15 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.30 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 4.49 | 6.46 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .