Metalul Buzău
vs
ASA Targu Mures
1 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | B. KocsisS. Ekollo | ||
| 46′ | M. CioiuD. Faragau | ||
| 46′ | A. MoldovanI. El Khabchi | ||
| 57′ | V. Robu | ||
| 68′ | R. TrifA. Capac | ||
| 68′ | A. MogaJair | ||
| 73′ | A. Saim TudorF. Puiu | ||
| 73′ | L. GaldeaM. Dohatca | ||
| 73′ | R. CaldararuA. Cublesan | ||
| 78′ | F. Puiu | ||
| 90′ | C. BortoneanuD. D. Oprea |
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures
| Probability | Metalul Buzău | Draw | ASA Targu Mures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.6% | 24.7% | 20.7% |
| Market | 41.7% | 27.1% | 31.2% |
| Final | 44.9% | 26.5% | 28.6% |
| Edge | +3.2% | -0.6% | -2.6% |
Why Metalul Buzău
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.08.
- The market prices Metalul Buzău below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metalul Buzău and ASA Targu Mures expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Metalul Buzău and ASA Targu Mures attack and defence ratings
Metalul Buzău
ASA Targu Mures
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures: result vs prediction
Metalul Buzău 1 – 0 ASA Targu Mures
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- FC Politehnica Timisoara v CSA Steaua Bucureşti — match page
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- Metaloglobus vs Popești-Leordeni
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare
- Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea — team news & stats
- Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa
- CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina
Before and after this match
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metalul Buzău | 44.9% | 2.23 | +3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metalul Buzău | 44.9% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| ASA Targu Mures | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metalul Buzău win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 45.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures stats
Metalul Buzău and ASA Targu Mures recent form
| Metalul Buzău |
WWDLLW |
| ASA Targu Mures |
WDWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metalul Buzău and ASA Targu Mures going into this match
Metalul Buzău record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
ASA Targu Mures record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | ASA Targu Mures | Metalul Buzău | Liga II | 1-4 |
| 2026-02-28 | ASA Targu Mures | Metalul Buzău | Liga II | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 27.1%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.26 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 3.26 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.34 | 2.86 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .