ASA Targu Mures
vs
Chindia Targoviste
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chindia Targoviste
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste
| Probability | ASA Targu Mures | Draw | Chindia Targoviste |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 24.2% | 43.2% |
| Market | 26.4% | 29.0% | 44.7% |
| Final | 28.0% | 27.8% | 44.3% |
| Edge | +6.2% | -4.8% | -1.5% |
Why Chindia Targoviste
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste match preview
ASA Targu Mures faces Chindia Targoviste in an upcoming Liga II match, with kickoff set for October 20, 2026. According to our model, Chindia Targoviste holds a 43% probability of winning, while ASA Targu Mures has a 33% chance, and a draw is at 24%. The expected goals for ASA Targu Mures is 1.59, compared to Chindia Targoviste's 1.84. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, ASA Targu Mures has recorded results of L-W-D-W-L-W, while Chindia Targoviste has a record of W-W-W-L-W-L. Our model indicates a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 68%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Chindia Targoviste emerged victorious, with ASA Targu Mures yet to secure a win against them.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ASA Targu Mures and Chindia Targoviste expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
ASA Targu Mures and Chindia Targoviste attack and defence ratings
ASA Targu Mures
Chindia Targoviste
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr — match page
- CSM Reşiţa v Cetatea Suceava — match page
- Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati — team news & stats
- Slatina vs Unirea Slobozia
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v Metaloglobus — match page
- Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea — team news & stats
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
- FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chindia Targoviste | 44.3% | 2.26 | -1.5% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASA Targu Mures | 28.0% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Chindia Targoviste | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% |
| No | 31.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chindia Targoviste win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste stats
ASA Targu Mures and Chindia Targoviste recent form
| ASA Targu Mures |
LWDWLW |
| Chindia Targoviste |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ASA Targu Mures and Chindia Targoviste season so far
ASA Targu Mures record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chindia Targoviste record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | ASA Targu Mures | Chindia Targoviste | Liga II | 0-2 |
| 2018-03-31 | Chindia Targoviste | ASA Targu Mures | Liga II | 3-0 |
| 2017-09-18 | ASA Targu Mures | Chindia Targoviste | Liga II | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.6%, draw 28.3%, away 45.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.41 | 3.10 | 2.03 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.10 | 2.01 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .