Liga II · ·Matchday 10

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava

Garuda Lions Prediction: CSM Reşiţa

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Mircea Chivu Stadium

CSM Reşiţa 41%
Draw 27%
Cetatea Suceava 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance CSM Reşiţa wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSM ReşiţaDrawCetatea Suceava
Model40.7%27.2%32.1%
Market———
Final40.7%27.2%32.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why CSM Reşiţa

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava match preview

CSM Reşiţa faces Cetatea Suceava in an upcoming Liga II match, with CSM Reşiţa holding a 41% probability of winning according to our model. The likelihood of a draw stands at 27%, while Cetatea Suceava has a 32% chance of securing a victory. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of CSM Reşiţa, with a 9% likelihood.

Both teams have shown varying recent form, with CSM Reşiţa recording three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Cetatea Suceava has two wins and three draws in the same period. The expected goals for CSM Reşiţa is 1.52, compared to Cetatea Suceava's 1.33. Additionally, there is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSM Reşiţa ↓ / Cetatea Suceav → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava expected goals

CSM Reşiţa 1.52
Cetatea Suceava 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.85

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava attack and defence ratings

CSM Reşiţa

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Cetatea Suceava

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CSM Reşiţa 40.7% 2.46 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.7% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSM Reşiţa40.7%
Draw27.2%
Cetatea Suceava32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.3%
Under 2.545.7%
Both teams to scoreYes58.7%
No41.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)59.3%
Handicap -1CSM Reşiţa win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava stats

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava season so far

league record

CSM Reşiţa record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Cetatea Suceava record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 CSM Reşiţa Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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