Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 10

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava

0 – 2 Full time

7′R. Sumanariu
12′S. Rimovecz
24′S. Ferhaoui
35′O. Salhi
37′L. Fulop
41′V. Cimbru
46′E. BlojV. Chera
46′O. SalhiF. Tchassem
52′F. Tchassem
56′C. Chira
59′E. LenghelM. Bosnaeg
59′M. ZavnikL. Sulaimon
59′S. VisicS. Savija
67′R. Sumanariu
67′R. Sumanariu
71′G. RaducanV. Kyrychenko
72′L. Sulaimon
77′S. FerhaouiA. Burdet
77′C. GolofcaA. Cerlinca
78′V. Kyrychenko
82′G. DavidC. Tucaliuc
85′L. Sulaimon
85′L. Sulaimon
89′S. Visinar

Mircea Chivu Stadium

CSM Reşiţa 50%
Draw 25%
Cetatea Suceava 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSM ReşiţaDrawCetatea Suceava
Model41.6%26.0%32.3%
Market52.7%24.7%22.6%
Final50.0%25.0%25.0%
Edge-2.8%+0.3%+2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why CSM Reşiţa

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSM Reşiţa ↓ / Cetatea Suceav → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava expected goals

CSM Reşiţa 1.64
Cetatea Suceava 1.43

Total expected goals: 3.07

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava attack and defence ratings

CSM Reşiţa

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Cetatea Suceava

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava: result vs prediction

CSM Reşiţa 0 – 2 Cetatea Suceava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CSM Reşiţa 50.0% 2.00 -2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.4% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSM Reşiţa50.0%
Draw25.0%
Cetatea Suceava25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.2%
Under 2.540.8%
Both teams to scoreYes62.4%
No37.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)50.0%
Handicap -1CSM Reşiţa win21.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava stats

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava going into this match

league record before kick-off

CSM Reşiţa record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Cetatea Suceava record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.1%, draw 24.6%, away 22.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 3.64 4.20
Bet365 1.70 3.70 3.90
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.00
Betano 1.70 3.80 4.35
Betfair 1.62 3.60 4.50
Marathonbet 1.66 3.64 4.10
Pinnacle 1.75 3.69 3.79
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.71 ▲ +0.01
X 3.67 ▼ -0.08
2 4.00 ▼ -0.29

13 snapshots recorded, from .