Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 10

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău

0 – 0 Full time

36′M. Miclaus
62′N. Baxevanos
62′A. Botogan
66′R. CaldararuA. Cublesan
66′R. MileaD. D. Oprea
66′A. Saim TudorF. Puiu
68′A. BotoganL. Bara
68′S. JurjD. Golda
71′A. N. Olaru
72′A. MoldovanG. Cretu
78′E. DanilaM. Marin
78′M. DraghiceanuC. Zamfir
82′M. MiclausG. Carpa
87′A. Nica
88′A. NicaL. Nagy
90′L. Bara
90′F. Opait

Daniel Prodan Stadium, Satu Mare

CSM Satu Mare 22%
Draw 28%
Metalul Buzău 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSM Satu MareDrawMetalul Buzău
Model26.0%33.6%40.5%
Market21.2%26.4%52.5%
Final22.4%28.2%49.5%
Edge+1.2%+1.8%-3.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Metalul Buzău

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSM Satu Mare ↓ / Metalul Buzău → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 14% 9% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău expected goals

CSM Satu Mare 0.84
Metalul Buzău 1.11

Total expected goals: 1.95

CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău attack and defence ratings

CSM Satu Mare

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Metalul Buzău

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău: result vs prediction

CSM Satu Mare 0 – 0 Metalul Buzău

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metalul Buzău 49.5% 2.02 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score No 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.6% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.5% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSM Satu Mare22.4%
Draw28.2%
Metalul Buzău49.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.0%
Under 2.569.0%
Both teams to scoreYes39.4%
No60.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.5%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)77.6%
Handicap -1Metalul Buzău win17.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss59.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.5%
1-114.6%
0-114.5%

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău stats

CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău going into this match

league record before kick-off

CSM Satu Mare record

  • They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Metalul Buzău record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1CSM Satu Mare wins 0Draws 0Metalul Buzău wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-09-27Metalul BuzăuCSM Satu MareLiga II0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.0%, draw 26.5%, away 51.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.37 3.38 1.71
Bet365 4.20 3.40 1.70
BetVictor 3.40 3.40 1.95
Betano 3.55 3.50 1.95
Betfair 3.40 3.40 1.87
Marathonbet 4.25 3.38 1.69
Pinnacle 4.38 3.44 1.70
William Hill 4.00 3.10 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.22 ▲ +0.68
X 3.39 ▼ -0.14
2 1.71 ▼ -0.22

13 snapshots recorded, from .