Metalul Buzău
vs
Ştefăneşti
Garuda Lions Prediction: Metalul Buzău
2 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti
| Probability | Metalul Buzău | Draw | Ştefăneşti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.8% | 19.7% | 6.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.8% | 19.7% | 6.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Metalul Buzău
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti match preview
Metalul Buzău enters the match against Ştefăneşti with a strong probability of winning at 74%, while Ştefăneşti has a mere 7% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 17% chance of occurring. Metalul Buzău's expected goals stand at 2.10, significantly higher than Ştefăneşti's expected goals of 0.49, indicating a clear offensive advantage.
In terms of recent form, Metalul Buzău has recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches, while Ştefăneşti has struggled with five consecutive losses followed by one win. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 48%, and there is a 35% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metalul Buzău and Ştefăneşti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Metalul Buzău and Ştefăneşti attack and defence ratings
Metalul Buzău
Ştefăneşti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa
- Cetatea Suceava v Slatina — match page
- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare
- CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures
Before and after this match
Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metalul Buzău | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Metalul Buzău win | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metalul Buzău | 73.8% |
| Draw | 19.7% | |
| Ştefăneşti | 6.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.6% |
| No | 67.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metalul Buzău win | 48.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 26.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.1% |
| 1-0 | 16.2% | |
| 3-0 | 11.5% |
Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti stats
Metalul Buzău and Ştefăneşti recent form
| Metalul Buzău |
DWWWDL |
| Ştefăneşti |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metalul Buzău and Ştefăneşti season so far
Metalul Buzău record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ştefăneşti record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.