Liga II · ·Matchday 11

CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Afumati

2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability

CNF Buftea

CS Afumati 62%
Draw 22%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance CS Afumati wins
62%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS AfumatiDrawCSA Steaua Bucureşti
Model61.9%22.3%15.8%
Market———
Final61.9%22.3%15.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why CS Afumati

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti match preview

CS Afumati enters this match against CSA Steaua Bucureşti with a 62% probability of winning, reflecting a strong recent form of L-W-W-D-W-W. Their expected goals stand at 2.08, indicating a solid offensive capability, while the most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. In contrast, CSA Steaua Bucureşti has struggled recently, with a record of D-D-W-L-D-L, and an expected goals figure of just 0.97.

The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 59%, with both teams having a 55% chance of scoring. Historically, CS Afumati has not secured a win against CSA Steaua Bucureşti, who has a record of 1 win in their last encounter. This matchup presents an intriguing dynamic given the contrasting forms of the teams.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Afumati ↓ / CSA Steaua Buc → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

CS Afumati and CSA Steaua Bucureşti expected goals

CS Afumati 2.08
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0.97

Total expected goals: 3.05

CS Afumati and CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack and defence ratings

CS Afumati

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.97 -3%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Afumati 61.9% 1.62 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.8% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.4% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.2% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 CS Afumati win 39.1% 2.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Afumati61.9%
Draw22.3%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti15.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.8%
Under 2.541.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.4%
No44.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.2%
12 (either side)77.7%
X2 (draw or away)38.1%
Handicap -1CS Afumati win39.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss38.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-010.2%
2-19.9%

CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti stats

CS Afumati and CSA Steaua Bucureşti recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Afumati and CSA Steaua Bucureşti season so far

league record

CS Afumati record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.

CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0CS Afumati wins 0Draws 1CSA Steaua Bucureşti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07CS AfumatiCSA Steaua BucureştiLiga II0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 CS Afumati Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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