Popești-Leordeni
vs
CS Afumati
Garuda Lions Prediction: Popești-Leordeni
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati
| Probability | Popești-Leordeni | Draw | CS Afumati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 21.3% | 24.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.5% | 21.3% | 24.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Popești-Leordeni
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.52.
Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati match preview
Popești-Leordeni will face CS Afumati in their upcoming Liga II match, with our model assigning a 55% probability of a home victory. The expected goals for Popești-Leordeni stand at 2.31, while CS Afumati has an expected goal tally of 1.52. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Both teams show a strong inclination towards scoring, with a 71% probability that both will find the net. Additionally, there is a 73% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. Recent form indicates that Popești-Leordeni has recorded two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while CS Afumati has three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Popești-Leordeni and CS Afumati expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.82
Popești-Leordeni and CS Afumati attack and defence ratings
Popești-Leordeni
CS Afumati
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Popești-Leordeni | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Popești-Leordeni | 54.5% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| CS Afumati | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.1% |
| No | 28.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Popești-Leordeni win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.4% | |
| 3-1 | 6.8% |
Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati stats
Popești-Leordeni and CS Afumati recent form
| Popești-Leordeni |
LWWDWD |
| CS Afumati |
WDWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Popești-Leordeni and CS Afumati season so far
Popești-Leordeni record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Afumati record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.