Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 9

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti

4 – 0 Full time

3′J. Patrascu
23′C. McCarthy
29′L. Lis
51′M. Bakayoko
52′A. Enache
71′M. Bakayoko
75′Ştefăneşti
78′A. Raicu

CNF Buftea

CS Afumati 67%
Draw 20%
Ştefăneşti 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS AfumatiDrawŞtefăneşti
Model62.5%23.1%14.4%
Market68.2%19.5%12.4%
Final66.8%20.4%12.9%
Edge-1.4%+0.9%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why CS Afumati

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Afumati ↓ / Ştefăneşti → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti expected goals

CS Afumati 1.96
Ştefăneşti 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.79

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti attack and defence ratings

CS Afumati

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Ştefăneşti

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti: result vs prediction

CS Afumati 4 – 0 Ştefăneşti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Afumati 66.8% 1.50 -1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.1% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 CS Afumati win 38.7% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Afumati66.8%
Draw20.4%
Ştefăneşti12.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.9%
Under 2.547.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.1%
12 (either side)79.6%
X2 (draw or away)33.2%
Handicap -1CS Afumati win38.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss37.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.7%
1-111.0%
1-011.0%

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti stats

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti recent form

newest first
CS Afumati WDWWDL
Ştefăneşti LLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti going into this match

league record before kick-off

CS Afumati record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ştefăneşti record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.2%, draw 19.5%, away 12.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.31 4.55 7.90
Bet365 1.40 4.50 5.75
Betano 1.37 4.85 6.80
Betfair 1.30 5.00 7.50
Dafabet 1.36 4.90 7.20
Marathonbet 1.30 4.55 7.50
Pinnacle 1.32 4.80 7.12
William Hill 1.35 4.33 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▼ -0.29
X 4.67 ▲ +1.07
2 7.35 ▲ +2.35

12 snapshots recorded, from .