Liga II · ·Matchday 9

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti

Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Afumati

2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

CNF Buftea

CS Afumati 66%
Draw 21%
Ştefăneşti 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance CS Afumati wins
66%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
50%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS AfumatiDrawŞtefăneşti
Model62.6%23.1%14.4%
Market67.7%19.7%12.6%
Final66.4%20.6%13.0%
Edge-5.2%+3.4%+1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why CS Afumati

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti match preview

CS Afumati enters the match against Ştefăneşti with a solid probability of winning at 63%, while Ştefăneşti has a lower chance at 14%. The expected goals for CS Afumati stand at 1.96, significantly higher than Ştefăneşti's 0.84, indicating a potential advantage in offensive performance. Recent form shows CS Afumati with a mixed record of W-D-W-W-D-L, whereas Ştefăneşti has struggled, recording four consecutive losses followed by one win and another loss.

The most likely scoreline for this matchup is 2-0, with a 12% probability. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams have a 50% likelihood of scoring. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the model's predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Afumati ↓ / Ştefăneşti → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti expected goals

CS Afumati 1.96
Ştefăneşti 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.80

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti attack and defence ratings

CS Afumati

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Ştefăneşti

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Afumati 66.4% 1.51 -5.2% 1.38
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.0% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 CS Afumati win 38.7% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Afumati66.4%
Draw20.6%
Ştefăneşti13.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.9%
Under 2.547.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.0%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)33.6%
Handicap -1CS Afumati win38.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss37.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.7%
1-111.0%
1-010.9%

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti stats

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti recent form

newest first
CS Afumati WDWWDL
Ştefăneşti LLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Afumati and Ştefăneşti season so far

league record

CS Afumati record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ştefăneşti record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.7%, draw 19.7%, away 12.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.32 4.40 8.05
Bet365 1.33 4.50 7.00
Betano 1.37 4.80 7.10
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00
Dafabet 1.38 4.60 7.20
Marathonbet 1.31 4.40 7.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▼ -0.30
X 4.55 ▲ +0.95
2 7.15 ▲ +2.15

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 CS Afumati Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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