Gloria Bistriţa
vs
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gloria Bistriţa
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
| Probability | Gloria Bistriţa | Draw | CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.9% | 24.0% | 20.1% |
| Market | 56.0% | 24.5% | 19.5% |
| Final | 56.0% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.6% |
Why Gloria Bistriţa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.09.
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea match preview
Gloria Bistriţa faces CSM Ramnicu Valcea in a Liga II matchup with kickoff set for October 10, 2026. According to our model, Gloria Bistriţa has a 56% probability of winning, while CSM Ramnicu Valcea stands at 20%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Gloria Bistriţa, with a 10% chance. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by a 58% probability for that outcome.
In terms of recent form, Gloria Bistriţa has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while CSM Ramnicu Valcea has achieved two wins, one draw, and three losses in the same period. Expected goals suggest Gloria Bistriţa will generate 1.93, compared to CSM Ramnicu Valcea's 1.09. The head-to-head record shows both teams have one win each in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea attack and defence ratings
Gloria Bistriţa
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia — team news & stats
- Metaloglobus vs Popești-Leordeni
- Metalul Buzău v ASA Targu Mures — match page
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare
- Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa
- CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina
- CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 56.0% | 1.79 | -0.1% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 56.0% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gloria Bistriţa win | 33.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea stats
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea recent form
| Gloria Bistriţa |
LLWWLL |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
WLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea season so far
Gloria Bistriţa record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-04 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga III - Play-offs | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-31 | Gloria Bistriţa | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | Liga III - Play-offs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 24.5%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.55 | 4.77 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.55 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.61 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .