Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 8

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa

2 – 1 Full time

16′D. Garcia
35′B. Carvalho
46′I. ToleaM. Adascalitei
46′B. CavarC. Sofroni
50′A. Bradu
51′D. Garcia
53′S. Rotaru
60′C. GonzalezJ. Gonzalez Mora
69′I. Chukwu
85′S. Pacionel

Stadionul Steaua, Bucharest

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 36%
Draw 27%
Gloria Bistriţa 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSA Steaua BucureştiDrawGloria Bistriţa
Model22.9%24.1%53.0%
Market39.9%27.3%32.8%
Final35.7%26.5%37.8%
Edge-17.0%-3.2%+20.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Gloria Bistriţa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.22.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Gloria Bistriţa below the model: +20.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSA Steaua Buc ↓ / Gloria Bistriţ → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Gloria Bistriţa expected goals

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1.22
Gloria Bistriţa 1.94

Total expected goals: 3.16

CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Gloria Bistriţa attack and defence ratings

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Gloria Bistriţa

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa: result vs prediction

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2 – 1 Gloria Bistriţa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gloria Bistriţa 37.8% 2.64 +20.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.0% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSA Steaua Bucureşti35.7%
Draw26.5%
Gloria Bistriţa37.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.2%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)64.3%
Handicap -1Gloria Bistriţa win31.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss47.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-29.7%
0-27.9%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa stats

CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Gloria Bistriţa recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Gloria Bistriţa going into this match

league record before kick-off

CSA Steaua Bucureşti record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.

Gloria Bistriţa record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0CSA Steaua Bucureşti wins 0Draws 1Gloria Bistriţa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-13CSA Steaua BucureştiGloria BistriţaLiga II1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 27.3%, away 32.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 3.28 2.80
Bet365 2.25 3.30 2.75
BetVictor 2.30 3.30 2.80
Betano 2.37 3.40 2.75
Betfair 2.30 3.40 2.70
Marathonbet 2.22 3.28 2.73
Pinnacle 2.27 3.42 2.69
William Hill 2.25 3.20 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.26 ▲ +0.34
X 3.30 —
2 2.75 ▼ -0.90

13 snapshots recorded, from .