Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 8

Concordia vs Metalul Buzău

0 – 1 Full time

46′A. ChamorroS. Samanes
46′G. IancuR. Ion
46′I. SolerD. Ghindovean
48′D. Ghindovean
48′C. Bortoneanu
63′G. GaneaN. Carnat
74′D. SulaA. Chiritoiu
78′R. CaldararuA. Cublesan
78′A. NicaF. Puiu
84′C. BortoneanuD. D. Oprea
84′A. MoldovanG. Cretu
89′A. Chiritoiu
90′R. Milea

Stadionul Concordia, Chiajna

Concordia 45%
Draw 27%
Metalul Buzău 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Concordia vs Metalul Buzău overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Concordia vs Metalul Buzău

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityConcordiaDrawMetalul Buzău
Model45.7%25.5%28.7%
Market44.3%27.4%28.4%
Final44.6%26.9%28.5%
Edge+1.5%-1.8%+0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Concordia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.35.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Concordia ↓ / Metalul Buzău → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Concordia and Metalul Buzău expected goals

Concordia 1.74
Metalul Buzău 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.09

Concordia and Metalul Buzău attack and defence ratings

Concordia

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Metalul Buzău

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Concordia vs Metalul Buzău: result vs prediction

Concordia 0 – 1 Metalul Buzău

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Concordia vs Metalul Buzău markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Concordia 44.6% 2.24 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.7% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Concordia44.6%
Draw26.9%
Metalul Buzău28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.7%
Under 2.540.3%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)55.4%
Handicap -1Concordia win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss54.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.3%
1-27.2%

Concordia vs Metalul Buzău stats

Concordia and Metalul Buzău recent form

newest first
Concordia WLWLWW
Metalul Buzău WDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Concordia and Metalul Buzău going into this match

league record before kick-off

Concordia record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metalul Buzău record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Concordia vs Metalul Buzău head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Concordia wins 0Draws 1Metalul Buzău wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-25ConcordiaMetalul BuzăuLiga II1-2
2024-09-21ConcordiaMetalul BuzăuLiga II1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Concordia vs Metalul Buzău odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 27.4%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.28 3.24
Bet365 2.05 3.30 3.10
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 3.20
Betano 2.10 3.45 3.20
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.10
Marathonbet 2.00 3.28 3.15
Pinnacle 2.04 3.32 3.18
William Hill 2.05 3.20 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 ▲ +0.30
X 3.31 ▼ -0.44
2 3.19 ▼ -0.87

13 snapshots recorded, from .