Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 8

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste

0 – 1 Full time

30′S. Camara
46′A. BalutaV. Bogdan
46′K. DoukoureD. Popadiuc
46′A. GavrilaR. Necsulescu
66′G. HonciuS. Asamoah
70′F. FreitasB. Ventura
73′TottiR. Mihai
76′R. GradinaruG. Lazar
77′B. Marian
78′G. BobalF. Ibrian
85′A. BrumaS. Issah
87′R. Mihai
90′D. Popadiuc

May 1 Stadium, Slobozia

Unirea Slobozia 33%
Draw 27%
Chindia Targoviste 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUnirea SloboziaDrawChindia Targoviste
Model37.5%25.1%37.4%
Market31.5%27.1%41.4%
Final33.0%26.6%40.4%
Edge+6.0%-2.0%-4.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Chindia Targoviste

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Unirea Slobozi ↓ / Chindia Targov → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Unirea Slobozia and Chindia Targoviste expected goals

Unirea Slobozia 1.64
Chindia Targoviste 1.64

Total expected goals: 3.28

Unirea Slobozia and Chindia Targoviste attack and defence ratings

Unirea Slobozia

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Chindia Targoviste

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste: result vs prediction

Unirea Slobozia 0 – 1 Chindia Targoviste

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chindia Targoviste 40.4% 2.48 -4.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.9% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.6% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Unirea Slobozia33.0%
Draw26.6%
Chindia Targoviste40.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.6%
Under 2.536.4%
Both teams to scoreYes65.9%
No34.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.6%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)67.0%
Handicap -1Chindia Targoviste win19.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss62.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-18.3%
1-28.3%

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste stats

Unirea Slobozia and Chindia Targoviste recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Unirea Slobozia and Chindia Targoviste going into this match

league record before kick-off

Unirea Slobozia record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chindia Targoviste record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Unirea Slobozia wins 0Draws 0Chindia Targoviste wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-09-03Chindia TargovisteUnirea SloboziaLiga II0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.5%, draw 27.1%, away 41.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.87 3.28 2.19
Bet365 2.88 3.30 2.15
BetVictor 2.90 3.40 2.20
Betano 2.90 3.50 2.22
Betfair 2.90 3.40 2.15
Marathonbet 2.80 3.28 2.17
Pinnacle 2.77 3.43 2.21
William Hill 2.90 3.20 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.89 ▼ -0.17
X 3.35 ▲ +0.25
2 2.20 ▼ -0.02

13 snapshots recorded, from .