Chindia Targoviste
vs
Concordia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chindia Targoviste
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia
| Probability | Chindia Targoviste | Draw | Concordia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 22.8% | 23.3% |
| Market | 50.4% | 25.8% | 23.7% |
| Final | 51.3% | 25.1% | 23.6% |
| Edge | +3.6% | -3.1% | -0.5% |
Why Chindia Targoviste
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Chindia Targoviste below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia match preview
Chindia Targoviste is favored to win against Concordia with a 51% probability, while a draw stands at 25% and Concordia at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Chindia Targoviste are 2.10, compared to Concordia's 1.34. Additionally, there is a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Chindia Targoviste has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Concordia has managed two wins and four losses in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record over the last seven encounters shows Chindia Targoviste with one win, three draws, and Concordia with three wins. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chindia Targoviste and Concordia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Chindia Targoviste and Concordia attack and defence ratings
Chindia Targoviste
Concordia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Satu Mare
- Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea — team news & stats
- Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa
- CSM Reşiţa vs Slatina
- CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chindia Targoviste | 51.3% | 1.95 | +3.6% | 1.85 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chindia Targoviste | 51.3% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Concordia | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% |
| No | 34.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chindia Targoviste win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia stats
Chindia Targoviste and Concordia recent form
| Chindia Targoviste |
WWLWLW |
| Concordia |
LWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chindia Targoviste and Concordia season so far
Chindia Targoviste record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Concordia record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Chindia Targoviste | Concordia | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2025-12-05 | Concordia | Chindia Targoviste | Liga II | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Concordia | Chindia Targoviste | Liga II | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Chindia Targoviste | Concordia | Liga II | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Chindia Targoviste | Concordia | Liga II | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Chindia Targoviste | Concordia | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Chindia Targoviste | Concordia | Liga II | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 25.8%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.50 | 3.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.65 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.50 | 3.72 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.51 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .