Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 9

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia

3 – 2 Full time

10′G. Honciu
29′Chindia Targoviste
37′A. Baluta
40′I. HulubaI. Padureanu
46′R. IonI. Soler
46′D. GhindoveanD. Sula
46′K. DoukoureC. Costin
46′C. NegutR. Mihai
55′Chindia Targoviste
60′R. Mihai
63′G. IancuS. Panoiu
64′S. Samanes
65′F. GasparD. Popadiuc
66′Concordia
72′A. ChamorroN. Carnat
79′I. Soler
80′Concordia
86′S. IssahA. Bilali
89′A. BalutaB. Petre

Stadionul Eugen Popescu, Targoviste

Chindia Targoviste 51%
Draw 25%
Concordia 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChindia TargovisteDrawConcordia
Model54.0%22.8%23.3%
Market50.4%25.8%23.7%
Final51.3%25.1%23.6%
Edge+0.9%-0.8%-0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Chindia Targoviste

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.34.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chindia Targov ↓ / Concordia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 6% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Chindia Targoviste and Concordia expected goals

Chindia Targoviste 2.10
Concordia 1.34

Total expected goals: 3.44

Chindia Targoviste and Concordia attack and defence ratings

Chindia Targoviste

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Concordia

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia: result vs prediction

Chindia Targoviste 3 – 2 Concordia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chindia Targoviste 51.3% 1.95 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.7% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.0% 2.17 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chindia Targoviste51.3%
Draw25.1%
Concordia23.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.8%
Under 2.533.2%
Both teams to scoreYes65.7%
No34.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.4%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)48.7%
Handicap -1Chindia Targoviste win33.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss46.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
2-19.5%
2-07.1%

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia stats

Chindia Targoviste and Concordia recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chindia Targoviste and Concordia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chindia Targoviste record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Concordia record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Chindia Targoviste wins 3Draws 3Concordia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18Chindia TargovisteConcordiaFriendlies Clubs2-3
2025-12-05ConcordiaChindia TargovisteLiga II0-1
2025-03-29ConcordiaChindia TargovisteLiga II2-1
2025-03-01Chindia TargovisteConcordiaLiga II1-1
2024-04-06Chindia TargovisteConcordiaLiga II0-1
2024-02-10Chindia TargovisteConcordiaFriendlies Clubs2-2
2023-12-03Chindia TargovisteConcordiaLiga II1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 25.8%, away 23.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.78 3.50 3.82
Bet365 1.80 3.50 3.70
BetVictor 1.80 3.60 3.90
Betano 1.80 3.65 3.95
Betfair 1.75 3.60 3.80
Dafabet 1.83 3.60 3.90
Marathonbet 1.76 3.50 3.72
Pinnacle 1.76 3.51 3.95
William Hill 1.85 3.25 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.60
X 3.51 ▲ +0.31
2 3.82 ▲ +1.06

12 snapshots recorded, from .