Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 10

FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa

3 – 0 Full time

7′P. Petre
9′P. Mitrica
15′R. MoiseD. Luncasu
17′C. Sofroni
18′G. Cirstean
36′C. SofroniC. Gheorghe
40′D. Luncasu
46′M. BaraL. Osikmashvili
46′A. SuciuD. Zanc
46′A. BraduA. Mogos
51′D. Iurasciuc
72′A. PavelV. Forizs
72′P. PetreR. Ciobanu
80′M. Bordea
89′A. CoajaD. Burlacu
89′M. LupuP. Barabas
89′G. CirsteanA. Neamtu

Baza Sportiva FC Bacau

FC Bacau 46%
Draw 28%
Gloria Bistriţa 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC BacauDrawGloria Bistriţa
Model47.9%27.2%24.9%
Market44.9%28.8%26.4%
Final45.6%28.4%26.0%
Edge+3.1%-1.6%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Bacau

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.10.
  • The market prices FC Bacau below the model: +3.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Bacau ↓ / Gloria Bistriţ → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

FC Bacau and Gloria Bistriţa expected goals

FC Bacau 1.61
Gloria Bistriţa 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.71

FC Bacau and Gloria Bistriţa attack and defence ratings

FC Bacau

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Gloria Bistriţa

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa: result vs prediction

FC Bacau 3 – 0 Gloria Bistriţa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Bacau 45.6% 2.19 +3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.1% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Bacau45.6%
Draw28.4%
Gloria Bistriţa26.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%
Both teams to scoreYes54.7%
No45.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.0%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.4%
Handicap -1FC Bacau win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss52.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-09.5%
2-19.5%

FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa stats

FC Bacau and Gloria Bistriţa recent form

newest first
FC Bacau LDWWDD
Gloria Bistriţa WLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Bacau and Gloria Bistriţa going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Bacau record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gloria Bistriţa record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0FC Bacau wins 1Draws 1Gloria Bistriţa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-17Gloria BistriţaFC BacauFriendlies Clubs1-0
2026-02-28FC BacauGloria BistriţaLiga II1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.0%, draw 27.6%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 3.12 3.46
Bet365 1.95 3.40 3.30
BetVictor 2.00 3.30 3.40
Betano 1.88 3.40 3.90
Betfair 1.80 3.50 3.80
Dafabet 1.84 3.40 3.80
Marathonbet 1.98 3.12 3.36
Pinnacle 2.00 3.10 3.54
William Hill 2.05 3.00 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.13
X 3.12 ▼ -0.13
2 3.40 ▲ +0.13

16 snapshots recorded, from .