Liga II · ·Matchday 9

Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bihor Oradea

2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Stadionul Iuliu Bodola, Oradea

Bihor Oradea 47%
Draw 26%
FC Bacau 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Bihor Oradea wins
47%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
69%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBihor OradeaDrawFC Bacau
Model39.3%24.3%36.4%
Market49.6%26.0%24.4%
Final47.0%25.6%27.4%
Edge-10.2%-1.7%+11.9%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau match preview

Bihor Oradea faces FC Bacau in a Liga II matchup on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a close contest, with Bihor Oradea holding a 39% probability of winning, while FC Bacau stands at 36%, and a draw is at 24%. The expected goals for Bihor Oradea are 1.77, slightly ahead of FC Bacau's 1.69, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Bihor Oradea, occurring with an 8% likelihood.

Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% probability that both teams will find the net. Recent form shows Bihor Oradea with mixed results (L-W-L-W-D-D), while FC Bacau is on a more positive run (D-W-W-D-D-W). The head-to-head record favors Bihor Oradea, who won the last encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bihor Oradea ↓ / FC Bacau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau expected goals

Bihor Oradea 1.77
FC Bacau 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.46

Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau attack and defence ratings

Bihor Oradea

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.08 +8%

FC Bacau

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bihor Oradea 47.0% 2.13 -10.2% 1.90
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.6% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.7% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bihor Oradea47.0%
Draw25.6%
FC Bacau27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%
Both teams to scoreYes68.6%
No31.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1Bihor Oradea win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss60.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-18.3%
1-28.0%

Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau stats

Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau recent form

newest first
Bihor Oradea LWLWDD
FC Bacau DWWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau season so far

league record

Bihor Oradea record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

FC Bacau record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Bihor Oradea wins 0Draws 0FC Bacau wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-09-19Bihor OradeaFC BacauLiga II2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bihor Oradea vs FC Bacau odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 26.0%, away 24.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.44 3.68
Bet365 1.80 3.40 3.70
Betano 1.85 3.55 3.85
Betfair 1.80 3.60 3.60
Dafabet 1.90 3.50 3.75
Marathonbet 1.81 3.44 3.58

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.82 ▼ -0.30
X 3.47 ▲ +0.17
2 3.69 ▲ +0.63

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Bihor Oradea Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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