Gloria Bistriţa
vs
Dumbrăviţa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gloria Bistriţa
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa
| Probability | Gloria Bistriţa | Draw | Dumbrăviţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.8% | 23.4% | 11.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.8% | 23.4% | 11.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gloria Bistriţa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa match preview
Gloria Bistriţa enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 71%, reflecting their recent form of two wins in their last six matches (W-L-L-W-W-L). They are expected to score an average of 2.12 goals, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0, which has a 14% probability. In contrast, Dumbrăviţa has struggled significantly, with five consecutive losses followed by a draw, leading to a low expected goals figure of 0.64.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 52%, while both teams scoring is projected at 43%. Historically, in their last encounter, Gloria Bistriţa has not secured a win against Dumbrăviţa, who has one victory in their previous head-to-head matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gloria Bistriţa and Dumbrăviţa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Gloria Bistriţa and Dumbrăviţa attack and defence ratings
Gloria Bistriţa
Dumbrăviţa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Metalul Buzău v Ştefăneşti — match page
- Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page
- Cetatea Suceava v Slatina — match page
- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare
- CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures
Before and after this match
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Gloria Bistriţa win | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 64.8% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Dumbrăviţa | 11.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gloria Bistriţa win | 39.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 35.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.7% |
| 2-0 | 13.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa stats
Gloria Bistriţa and Dumbrăviţa recent form
| Gloria Bistriţa |
LWLLWW |
| Dumbrăviţa |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gloria Bistriţa and Dumbrăviţa season so far
Gloria Bistriţa record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dumbrăviţa record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Dumbrăviţa | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga II | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.