CSM Reşiţa
vs
Gloria Bistriţa
Garuda Lions Prediction: CSM Reşiţa
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — CSM Reşiţa is the favourite, not a value bet.
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa
| Probability | CSM Reşiţa | Draw | Gloria Bistriţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 29.2% | 30.7% |
| Market | 53.4% | 24.2% | 22.4% |
| Final | 50.1% | 25.4% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -3.3% | +1.3% | +2.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.4% per unit staked (our 50.1% × 1.75 − 1).
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa match preview
CSM Reşiţa hosts Gloria Bistriţa in Liga II with a probability of 40% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 31% for an away victory, according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, predicted at 10%. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 53% chance for both teams to find the net and an expected goals total of 1.37 for CSM Reşiţa and 1.17 for Gloria Bistriţa.
In terms of recent form, CSM Reşiţa has recorded two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Gloria Bistriţa has also had a mixed run, with three wins and three losses in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record favors CSM Reşiţa, who won the last encounter, marking one win for them and none for Gloria Bistriţa. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSM Reşiţa and Gloria Bistriţa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
CSM Reşiţa and Gloria Bistriţa attack and defence ratings
CSM Reşiţa
Gloria Bistriţa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău — team news & stats
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page
- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats
- Slatina vs Concordia
Before and after this match
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Reşiţa | 50.1% | 2.00 | -3.3% | 1.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Reşiţa | 50.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Gloria Bistriţa | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | CSM Reşiţa win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa stats
CSM Reşiţa and Gloria Bistriţa recent form
| CSM Reşiţa |
LLWWLW |
| Gloria Bistriţa |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSM Reşiţa and Gloria Bistriţa season so far
CSM Reşiţa record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Gloria Bistriţa record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | CSM Reşiţa | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga II | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.4%, draw 24.2%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.03 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.20 |