Liga II · ·Matchday 12

Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Politehnica Timisoara

0 – 2 Predicted score · 14% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.65.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stefan Dobay Stadium, Dumbravita

Dumbrăviţa 11%
Draw 22%
FC Politehnica Timisoara 67%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC Politehnica Timisoara wins
67%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
42%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 2
14% of simulated outcomes

Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDumbrăviţaDrawFC Politehnica Timisoara
Model10.5%22.1%67.4%
Market———
Final10.5%22.1%67.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Politehnica Timisoara

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara match preview

Dumbrăviţa faces a challenging matchup against FC Politehnica Timisoara in Liga II, with the model indicating a significant advantage for the visitors. Dumbrăviţa has struggled recently, recording six consecutive losses, while FC Politehnica Timisoara has shown strong form, with four wins and two draws in their last six matches. The probabilities suggest a 67% chance of an FC Politehnica Timisoara victory, while Dumbrăviţa has only an 11% chance of winning.

The expected goals highlight the disparity between the two teams, with Dumbrăviţa projected to score 0.65 and FC Politehnica Timisoara at 1.96. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring with a 14% probability. Additionally, there is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring has a 42% likelihood, indicating a potentially one-sided affair.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dumbrăviţa ↓ / FC Politehnica → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 13% 14% 9% 1 10% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 8%

Dumbrăviţa and FC Politehnica Timisoara expected goals

Dumbrăviţa 0.65
FC Politehnica Timisoara 1.96

Total expected goals: 2.61

Dumbrăviţa and FC Politehnica Timisoara attack and defence ratings

Dumbrăviţa

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.34 +34%

FC Politehnica Timisoara

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Politehnica Timisoara 67.4% 1.48 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 89.5% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 FC Politehnica Timisoara win 42.5% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dumbrăviţa10.5%
Draw22.1%
FC Politehnica Timisoara67.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%
Both teams to scoreYes42.1%
No57.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)32.6%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)89.5%
Handicap -1FC Politehnica Timisoara win42.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss32.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-214.1%
0-113.5%
1-110.3%

Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara stats

Dumbrăviţa and FC Politehnica Timisoara recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dumbrăviţa and FC Politehnica Timisoara season so far

league record

Dumbrăviţa record

  • They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Politehnica Timisoara record

  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 FC Politehnica Timisoara Predicted score 0 – 2 Low Bet Now
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