Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 13

Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa

1 – 0 Full time

Metaloglobus Stadium, Bucharest

Metaloglobus 66%
Draw 21%
Dumbrăviţa 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetaloglobusDrawDumbrăviţa
Model71.2%19.0%9.8%
Market64.4%21.5%14.1%
Final66.1%20.9%13.0%
Edge+1.7%-0.6%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Metaloglobus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metaloglobus ↓ / Dumbrăviţa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 9% 2 13% 9% 3 10% 7% 4+ 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Metaloglobus and Dumbrăviţa expected goals

Metaloglobus 2.28
Dumbrăviţa 0.75

Total expected goals: 3.03

Metaloglobus and Dumbrăviţa attack and defence ratings

Metaloglobus

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Dumbrăviţa

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa: result vs prediction

Metaloglobus 1 – 0 Dumbrăviţa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metaloglobus 66.1% 1.51 +1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.3% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.0% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Metaloglobus win 48.5% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metaloglobus66.1%
Draw20.9%
Dumbrăviţa13.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.3%
Under 2.541.7%
Both teams to scoreYes48.1%
No51.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.0%
12 (either side)79.1%
X2 (draw or away)33.9%
Handicap -1Metaloglobus win48.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss28.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.6%
1-010.2%
3-09.6%

Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa stats

Metaloglobus and Dumbrăviţa recent form

newest first
Metaloglobus WWDLWD
Dumbrăviţa DLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metaloglobus and Dumbrăviţa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metaloglobus record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dumbrăviţa record

  • They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Metaloglobus wins 1Draws 0Dumbrăviţa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-11-02DumbrăviţaMetaloglobusLiga II0-2
2024-04-27DumbrăviţaMetaloglobusLiga II0-2
2023-09-30DumbrăviţaMetaloglobusLiga II1-1
2022-10-08MetaloglobusDumbrăviţaLiga II1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.4%, draw 21.5%, away 14.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.38 4.20 6.85
Bet365 1.40 4.20 6.25
BetVictor 1.40 4.20 7.00
Betano 1.45 4.30 6.40
Betfair 1.40 4.20 6.00
Dafabet 1.45 4.30 6.40
Marathonbet 1.37 4.20 6.50
Pinnacle 1.42 4.25 6.21
William Hill 1.44 3.90 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.02
X 4.20 —
2 6.40 ▼ -0.72

9 snapshots recorded, from .