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Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 13

CS Afumati vs FC Bacau

1 – 1 Full time

CNF Buftea

CS Afumati 40%
Draw 27%
FC Bacau 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CS Afumati vs FC Bacau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Afumati vs FC Bacau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS AfumatiDrawFC Bacau
Model40.6%25.2%34.2%
Market39.8%28.1%32.1%
Final40.0%27.4%32.6%
Edge+0.2%-0.7%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Afumati ↓ / FC Bacau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

CS Afumati and FC Bacau expected goals

CS Afumati 1.70
FC Bacau 1.55

Total expected goals: 3.26

CS Afumati and FC Bacau attack and defence ratings

CS Afumati

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.17 +17%

FC Bacau

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CS Afumati vs FC Bacau: result vs prediction

CS Afumati 1 – 1 FC Bacau

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CS Afumati vs FC Bacau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Afumati 40.0% 2.50 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.2% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.5% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.4% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Afumati40.0%
Draw27.4%
FC Bacau32.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.2%
Under 2.536.8%
Both teams to scoreYes65.5%
No34.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.4%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)60.0%
Handicap -1CS Afumati win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss59.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-18.7%
1-27.9%

CS Afumati vs FC Bacau stats

CS Afumati and FC Bacau recent form

newest first
CS Afumati LLLWWD
FC Bacau LLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Afumati and FC Bacau going into this match

league record before kick-off

CS Afumati record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Bacau record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CS Afumati vs FC Bacau head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1CS Afumati wins 0Draws 1FC Bacau wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18FC BacauCS AfumatiLiga II3-1
2025-08-02CS AfumatiFC BacauLiga II3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CS Afumati vs FC Bacau odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 28.1%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 3.16 2.88
Bet365 2.30 3.30 2.62
BetVictor 2.25 3.40 2.80
Betano 2.37 3.25 2.85
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.70
Dafabet 2.38 3.25 2.85
Marathonbet 2.23 3.16 2.80
Pinnacle 2.22 3.27 2.92
William Hill 2.30 3.00 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.12
X 3.25 ▲ +0.01
2 2.85 ▲ +0.35

9 snapshots recorded, from .